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EskelianThu 31-Aug-06 02:30 AM
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#151, "Obligatory. Politics. Discuss. n/t"


          

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Reply Thread locked on account of sprawl., Valguarnera, 13-Sep-06 09:12 AM, #123
Reply This essey pretty much sums up my current world view., Odrirg, 03-Sep-06 01:27 AM, #16
Reply RE: Vitriol:, Valguarnera, 05-Sep-06 03:26 PM, #17
Reply RE: Vitriol:, DurNominator, 05-Sep-06 04:06 PM, #19
Reply Wow... just wow...., Tac, 05-Sep-06 03:57 PM, #18
Reply RE: Wow... just wow...., Valguarnera, 05-Sep-06 04:32 PM, #20
Reply Heh..., Tac, 05-Sep-06 04:37 PM, #21
Reply This is a Fallacious argument., (NOT Pro), 06-Sep-06 06:25 PM, #30
     Reply RE: "Mexican invasion", Valguarnera, 07-Sep-06 02:58 PM, #47
     Reply Why won't they legalize it?, Tac, 07-Sep-06 03:02 PM, #48
     Reply My take:, Valguarnera, 07-Sep-06 03:18 PM, #49
     Reply RE: Why won't they legalize it?, nepenthe, 07-Sep-06 03:27 PM, #50
     Reply RE: Why won't they legalize it?, Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 10:24 PM, #77
          Reply RE: Why won't they legalize it?, Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 10:33 PM, #78
               Reply We'll probably have to kill them all. nt, Aodh, 08-Sep-06 12:26 AM, #80
     Reply RE: Why won't they legalize it?, Isildur, 07-Sep-06 03:41 PM, #52
     Reply You pointed out the danger., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 04:32 PM, #55
     Reply RE: You pointed out the danger., nepenthe, 07-Sep-06 05:47 PM, #64
          Reply Uhm.. Geography., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 06:28 PM, #71
     Reply Don't marginalize the harm of it however., Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 10:18 PM, #76
          Reply RE: Don't marginalize the harm of it however., Muuloc, 08-Sep-06 01:40 AM, #83
               Reply Quick note on that:, Valguarnera, 08-Sep-06 08:55 AM, #84
               Reply RE: Quick note on that:, Eskelian, 08-Sep-06 09:01 AM, #86
               Reply Whoops., Valguarnera, 08-Sep-06 09:38 AM, #89
               Reply According to Darwyn, (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:16 AM, #94
               Reply Thats absurd., Eskelian, 08-Sep-06 08:55 AM, #85
               Reply RE: Don't marginalize the harm of it however., Isildur, 08-Sep-06 09:45 AM, #91
               Reply Completely rational., (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:17 AM, #95
               Reply 3.4% of our GNP goes to the military., (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:13 AM, #93
                    Reply Do you even know what a GNP is?, Valguarnera, 08-Sep-06 12:43 PM, #102
                         Reply Military R&D is 72B I think., (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 07:12 PM, #104
                              Reply Eventually, we'll be able to kill everyone! ~, Aodh, 08-Sep-06 09:18 PM, #107
     Reply RE: This is a Fallacious argument., Muuloc, 08-Sep-06 01:34 AM, #82
          Reply Why?, (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:18 AM, #96
Reply As a 17 year Veteran...., (NOT Pro), 06-Sep-06 06:04 PM, #29
     Reply RE: As a 17 year Veteran...., nepenthe, 06-Sep-06 11:07 PM, #34
     Reply RE: As a 17 year Veteran...., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 01:38 AM, #35
          Reply RE: As a 17 year Veteran...., nepenthe, 07-Sep-06 08:53 AM, #37
               Reply It's worth noting that:, Valguarnera, 07-Sep-06 11:04 AM, #40
                    Reply RE: It's worth noting that:, nepenthe, 07-Sep-06 01:28 PM, #41
                         Reply Question:, Tac, 07-Sep-06 02:02 PM, #42
                         Reply To me this is the equivilant of saying., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 02:09 PM, #44
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., A2, 07-Sep-06 02:30 PM, #45
                              Reply Who once said it needed to be in a bubble? Anyone?, (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 04:35 PM, #56
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Tac, 07-Sep-06 02:59 PM, #46
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Isildur, 07-Sep-06 03:34 PM, #51
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Tac, 07-Sep-06 03:58 PM, #53
                              Reply The fair tax is a Great idea., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 04:40 PM, #59
                              Reply RE: The fair tax is a Great idea., Isildur, 07-Sep-06 04:58 PM, #62
                                   Reply Heh. nt, Wilhath, 07-Sep-06 06:11 PM, #69
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Isildur, 07-Sep-06 04:49 PM, #60
                                   Reply One dose of insanity...., Tac, 07-Sep-06 05:49 PM, #65
                              Reply 30 Million Illegals in 10 years., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 04:39 PM, #58
                                   Reply RE: 30 Million Illegals in 10 years., Isildur, 07-Sep-06 05:08 PM, #63
                                        Reply It grew., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 08:06 PM, #72
                              Reply I think we should stop ALL immigration, (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 04:37 PM, #57
                              Reply So can we deport you?, Tac, 07-Sep-06 05:51 PM, #67
                              Reply RE: I think we should stop ALL immigration, Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 10:00 PM, #75
                                   Reply Where I think a lot of you misunderstand me is here...., (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:09 AM, #92
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 09:58 PM, #74
                              Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Eshval, 13-Sep-06 12:55 AM, #118
                                   Reply RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying., Valkenar, 13-Sep-06 08:39 AM, #120
                         Reply It's worth noting also that I got seriously ####ed up o..., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 02:05 PM, #43
                              Reply Wait till they slash your benefits. ~ (Blackbird), Aodh, 07-Sep-06 06:26 PM, #70
                                   Reply They keep increasing mine., (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 10:19 AM, #97
     Reply A quote..., Barduin, 07-Sep-06 04:02 PM, #54
Reply Patriotism is hilarious, Valkenar, 05-Sep-06 05:29 PM, #22
Reply RE: This essey pretty much sums up my current world vie..., nepenthe, 05-Sep-06 05:59 PM, #23
Reply Losing would be allowing OUR government to become like ..., TheLastMohican, 05-Sep-06 08:04 PM, #24
Reply devil's advocate question for the peanut gallery. txt, Isildur, 06-Sep-06 04:08 PM, #25
Reply RE: devil's advocate question for the peanut gallery. t..., Tac, 06-Sep-06 04:56 PM, #26
Reply I wrote out this whole long thing that the forum ate..., Wilhath, 06-Sep-06 05:36 PM, #28
Reply RE: devil's advocate, Valguarnera, 06-Sep-06 05:25 PM, #27
     Reply RE: devil's advocate, (NOT Pro), 06-Sep-06 09:48 PM, #31
     Reply No offense Valg, but Pro will never learn., TheLastMohican, 06-Sep-06 10:36 PM, #32
          Reply Sure he will...., Tac, 06-Sep-06 10:43 PM, #33
          Reply It is a bad topic for this board., (NOT Pro), 07-Sep-06 01:54 AM, #36
               Reply RE: It is a bad topic for this board., Isildur, 07-Sep-06 10:25 AM, #39
               Reply RE: It is a bad topic for this board., Valkenar, 07-Sep-06 04:53 PM, #61
               Reply LAUGH!, (NOT Pro), 08-Sep-06 07:20 PM, #105
               Reply Seek counseling., Valguarnera, 07-Sep-06 05:50 PM, #66
                    Reply *edit*, Wilhath, 07-Sep-06 06:05 PM, #68
     Reply RE: devil's advocate, Isildur, 07-Sep-06 10:20 AM, #38
Reply RE: This essey pretty much sums up my current world vie..., Muuloc, 08-Sep-06 01:30 AM, #81
Reply Vague Topic, Amaranthe, 31-Aug-06 03:39 PM, #3
Reply RE: Vague Topic, Grurk Muouk, 31-Aug-06 03:53 PM, #4
Reply RE: Vague Topic, nepenthe, 31-Aug-06 05:50 PM, #5
Reply RE: Vague Topic, Amaranthe, 31-Aug-06 06:52 PM, #6
Reply RE: Vague Topic, Eskelian, 31-Aug-06 08:08 PM, #8
Reply RE: Vague Topic, Isildur, 01-Sep-06 10:56 AM, #9
     Reply RE: Vague Topic, Eskelian, 01-Sep-06 05:11 PM, #10
     Reply RE: Vague Topic, Isildur, 01-Sep-06 11:54 PM, #11
          Reply RE: Vague Topic, Eskelian, 07-Sep-06 09:50 PM, #73
               Reply RE: Vague Topic, nepenthe, 07-Sep-06 11:04 PM, #79
               Reply Bingo. n/t, Eskelian, 08-Sep-06 09:04 AM, #87
               Reply RE: Vague Topic, Tac, 08-Sep-06 09:15 AM, #88
               Reply RE: Vague Topic, nepenthe, 08-Sep-06 10:49 AM, #99
                    Reply They *are* seperate issues, Tac, 08-Sep-06 11:42 AM, #100
                         Reply RE: They *are* seperate issues, nepenthe, 08-Sep-06 07:28 PM, #106
                              Reply I gotta ask, Minyar, 12-Sep-06 01:37 PM, #108
                                   Reply I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe's), Tac, 12-Sep-06 02:43 PM, #109
                                   Reply RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..., nepenthe, 12-Sep-06 03:48 PM, #111
                                        Reply RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..., Tac, 12-Sep-06 04:30 PM, #112
                                             Reply RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..., nepenthe, 12-Sep-06 05:41 PM, #113
                                                  Reply Come on now Nep, Minyar, 12-Sep-06 05:58 PM, #114
                                                       Reply Except:, Valguarnera, 12-Sep-06 08:59 PM, #115
                                                            Reply Two words: Turing Test, Tac, 12-Sep-06 09:19 PM, #116
                                                            Reply RE: Two words: Turing Test, Valguarnera, 12-Sep-06 11:37 PM, #117
                                                            Reply RE: Two words: Turing Test, Tac, 13-Sep-06 08:47 AM, #121
                                                            Reply RE: Two words: Turing Test, Valkenar, 13-Sep-06 09:05 AM, #122
                                   Reply RE: I gotta ask, nepenthe, 12-Sep-06 03:22 PM, #110
               Reply The problem is Choice, Nepenthe, wretchedmongrel, 13-Sep-06 02:43 AM, #119
               Reply RE: Vague Topic, Isildur, 08-Sep-06 09:38 AM, #90
                    Reply RE: Vague Topic, nepenthe, 08-Sep-06 10:40 AM, #98
                         Reply According to wikipedia...., Tac, 08-Sep-06 11:46 AM, #101
                         Reply RE: Vague Topic, Isildur, 08-Sep-06 12:42 PM, #103
     Reply RE: Vague Topic, Amaranthe, 02-Sep-06 11:20 AM, #12
          Reply RE: Vague Topic, Isildur, 02-Sep-06 11:45 AM, #13
               Reply RE: Vague Topic, Amaranthe, 02-Sep-06 02:45 PM, #14
Reply RE: Vague Topic, Eskelian, 31-Aug-06 08:07 PM, #7
Reply From my blog eariler this month:, Grurk Muouk, 31-Aug-06 08:17 AM, #1
     Reply RE: From my blog eariler this month:, Isildur, 31-Aug-06 02:32 PM, #2
          Reply RE: From my blog eariler this month:, Isildur, 02-Sep-06 04:15 PM, #15

ValguarneraWed 13-Sep-06 09:12 AM
Member since 04th Mar 2003
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#336, "Thread locked on account of sprawl."
In response to Reply #0


          

Please feel free to start subthreads on specific topics if you wanted to continue, but right now this vague-ass thread tends to swamp out the other conversations.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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OdrirgSun 03-Sep-06 01:27 AM
Member since 16th Oct 2004
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#183, "This essey pretty much sums up my current world view."
In response to Reply #0


          

Heard it read tonight on Coast to Coast AM with George Norry as I was in the middle of a 4 hour drive. Found it on the internet.

***********

This WAR is for REAL!

To get out of a difficulty, one usually must go through it. Our country is now facing the most serious threat to its existence, as we know it, that we have faced in your lifetime and mine (which includes WWII).

The deadly seriousness is greatly compounded by the fact that there are very few of us who think we can possibly lose this war and even fewer who realize what losing really means.

First, let's examine a few basics:

1. When did the threat to us start?

Many will say September 11, 2001. The answer as far as the United States is concerned is 1979, 22 years prior to September 2001 with the following attacks on us:

* Iran Embassy Hostages, 1979;
* Beirut, Lebanon Embassy 1983;
* Beirut, Lebanon Marine Barracks 1983;
* Lockerbie, Scotland Pan-Am flight to New York 1988;
* First New York World Trade Center attack 1993;
* Dhahran, Saudi Arabia Khobar Towers Military complex 1996;
* Nairobi, Kenya US Embassy 1998;
* Dares Salaam, Tanzania US Embassy 1998;
* Aden, Yemen USS Cole 2000;
* New York World Trade Center 2001;
* Pentagon 2001.

(Note that during the period from 1981 to 2001 there were 7,581 terrorist attacks worldwide).

2. Why were we attacked?

Envy of our position, our success, and our freedoms. The attacks happened during the administrations of Presidents Carter, Reagan, Bush 1, Clinton and Bush 2. We cannot fault either the Republicans or Democrats as there were no provocations by any of the presidents or their immediate predecessors, Presidents Ford or Carter.

3. Who were the attackers?

In each case, the attacks on the US were carried out by Muslims.

4. What is the Muslim population of the World? 25%.

5. Isn't the Muslim Religion peaceful?

Hopefully, but that is really not material. There is no doubt that the predominately Christian population of Germany was peaceful, but under the dictatorial leadership of Hitler (who was also Christian), that made no difference. You either went along with the administration or you were eliminated. There were 5 to 6 million Christians killed by the Nazis for political reasons (including 7,000 Polish priests). (see >http://www.nazis.testimony.co.uk/7-a.htm )

Thus, almost the same number of Christians were killed by the Nazis, as the six million holocaust Jews who were killed by them, and we seldom heard of anything other than the Jewish atrocities. Although Hitler kept the world focused on the Jews, he had no hesitancy about killing anyone who got in his way of exterminating the Jews or of taking over the world - German, Christian or any others.

Same with the Muslim terrorists. They focus the world on the US, but kill all in the way -- their own people or the Spanish, French or anyone else. The point here is that just like the peaceful Germans were of no protection to anyone from the Nazis, no matter how many peaceful Muslims there may be, they are no protection for us from the terrorist Muslim leaders and what they are fanatically bent on doing -- by their own pronouncements -- killing all of us "infidels." I don't blame the peaceful Muslims. What would you do if the choice was shut up or die?

6. So who are we at war with?

There is no way we can honestly respond that it is anyone other than the Muslim terrorists. Trying to be politically correct and avoid verbalizing this conclusion can well be fatal. There is no way to win if you don't clearly recognize and articulate who you are fighting.

So with that background, now to the two major questions:

1. Can we lose this war?

2. What does losing really mean?

If we are to win, we must clearly answer these two pivotal questions.

We can definitely lose this war, and as anomalous as it may sound, the major reason we can lose is that so many of us simply do not fathom the answer to the second question - What does losing mean?

It would appear that a great many of us think that losing the war means hanging our heads, bringing the troops home and going on about our business, like post Vietnam. This is as far from the truth as one can get.

What losing really means is:

We would no longer be the premier country in the world. The attacks will not subside, but rather will steadily increase. Remember, they want us dead, not just quiet. If they had just wanted us quiet, they would not have produced an increasing series of attacks against us, over the past 18 years. The plan was clearly, for terrorist to attack us, until we were neutered and submissive to them.

We would of course have no future support from other nations, for fear of reprisals and for the reason that they would see, we are impotent and cannot help them.

They will pick off the other non-Muslim nations, one at a time. It will be increasingly easier for them. They already hold Spain hostage. It doesn't matter whether it was right or wrong for Spain to withdraw its troops from Iraq. Spain did it because the Muslim terrorists bombed their train and told them to withdraw the troops. Anything else they want Spain to do will be done. Spain is finished.

The next will probably be France. Our one hope on France is that they might see the light and realize that if we don't win, they are finished too, in that they can't resist the Muslim terrorists without us. However, it may already be too late for France. France is already 20% Muslim and fading fast!

If we lose the war, our production, income, exports and way of life will all vanish as we know it. After losing, who would trade or deal with us, if they were threatened by the Muslims.

If we can't stop the Muslims, how could anyone else?

The Muslims fully know what is riding on this war, and therefore are completely committed to winning, at any cost. We better know it too and be likewise committed to winning at any cost.

Why do I go on at such lengths about the results of losing? Simple. Until we recognize the costs of losing, we cannot unite and really put 100% of our thoughts and efforts into winning. And it is going to take that 100% effort to win.

So, how can we lose the war?

Again, the answer is simple. We can lose the war by "imploding." That is, defeating ourselves by refusing to recognize the enemy and their purpose, and really digging in and lending full support to the war effort. If we are united, there is no way that we can lose. If we continue to be divided, there is no way that we can win!

Let me give you a few examples of how we simply don't comprehend the life and death seriousness of this situation.

President Bush selects Norman Mineta as Secretary of Transportation. Although all of the terrorist attacks were committed by Muslim men between 17 and 40 years of age, Secretary Mineta refuses to allow profiling. Does that sound like we are taking this thing seriously? This is war! For the duration, we are going to have to give up some of the civil rights we have become accustomed to. We had better be prepared to lose some of our civil rights temporarily or we will most certainly lose all of them permanently.

And don't worry that it is a slippery slope. We gave up plenty of civil rights during WWII, and immediately restored them after the victory and in fact added many more since then.

Do I blame President Bush or President Clinton before him?

No, I blame us for blithely assuming we can maintain all of our Political Correctness, and all of our civil rights during this conflict and have a clean, lawful, honorable war. None of those words apply to war. Get them out of your head.

Some have gone so far in their criticism of the war and/or the Administration that it almost seems they would literally like to see us lose. I hasten to add that this isn't because they are disloyal. It is because they just don't recognize what losing means. Nevertheless, that conduct gives the impression to the enemy that we are divided and weakening. It concerns our friends, and it does great damage to our cause.

Of more recent vintage, the uproar fueled by the politicians and media regarding the treatment of some prisoners of war, perhaps exemplifies best what I am saying. We have recently had an issue, involving the treatment of a few Muslim prisoners of war, by a small group of our military police. These are the type prisoners who just a few months ago were throwing their own people off buildings, cutting off their hands, cutting out their tongues and otherwise murdering their own people just for disagreeing with Saddam Hussein.

And just a few years ago these same type prisoners chemically killed 400,000 of their own people for the same reason. They are also the same type enemy fighters, who recently were burning Americans, and dragging their charred corpses through the streets of Iraq.

And still more recently, the same type enemy that was and is providing videos to all news sources internationally, of the beheading of American prisoners they held.

Compare this with some of our press and politicians, who for several days have thought and talked about nothing else but the "humiliating" of some Muslim prisoners -- not burning them, not dragging their charred corpses through the streets, not beheading them, but "humiliating" them.

Can this be for real?

The politicians and pundits have even talked of impeachment of the Secretary of Defense. If this doesn't show the complete lack of comprehension and understanding of the seriousness of the enemy we are fighting, the life and death struggle we are in and the disastrous results of losing this war, nothing can.

To bring our country to a virtual political standstill over this prisoner issue makes us look like Nero playing his fiddle as Rome burned -- totally oblivious to what is going on in the real world. Neither we, nor any other country, can survive this internal strife. Again I say, this does not mean that some of our politicians or media people are disloyal. It simply means that they are absolutely oblivious to the magnitude, of the situation we are in and into which the Muslim terrorists have been pushing us, for many years.

Remember, the Muslim terrorists stated goal is to kill all infidels! That translates into ALL non-Muslims -- not just in the United States, but throughout the world.

We are the last bastion of defense.

We have been criticized for many years as being 'arrogant.' That charge is valid in at least one respect. We are arrogant in that we believe that we are so good, powerful and smart, that we can win the hearts and minds of all those who attack us, and that with both hands tied behind our back, we can defeat anything bad in the world!

We can't!

If we don't recognize this, our nation as we know it will not survive, and no other free country in the world will survive if we are > defeated.


And finally, name any Muslim countries throughout the world that allow freedom of speech, freedom of thought, freedom of religion, freedom of the press, equal rights for anyone -- let alone everyone, equal status or any status for women, or that have been productive in one single way that contributes to the good of the world.

This has been a long way of saying that we must be united on this war or we will be equated in the history books to the self-inflicted fall of the Roman Empire. If, that is, the Muslim leaders will allow history books to be written or read.

If we don't win this war right now, keep a close eye on how the Muslims take over France in the next 5 years or less. They will continue to increase the Muslim population of France and continue to encroach little by little, on the established French traditions. The French will be fighting among themselves, over what should or should not be done, which will continue to weaken them and keep them from any united resolve. Doesn't that sound eerily familiar?

Democracies don't have their freedoms taken away from them by some external military force. Instead, they give their freedoms away, politically correct piece by politically correct piece.

And they are giving those freedoms away to those who have shown, worldwide, that they abhor freedom and will not apply it to you or even to themselves, once they are in power.

They have universally shown that when they have taken over, they then start brutally killing each other over who will be the few who control the masses. Will we ever stop hearing from the politically correct, about the "peaceful Muslims"?

I close on a hopeful note, by repeating what I said above. If we are united, there is no way that we can lose. I hope now after the election, the factions in our country will begin to focus on the critical situation we are in, and will unite to save our country. It is your future we are talking about! Do whatever you can to preserve it.

After reading the above, we all must do this not only for ourselves, but ourchildren, our grandchildren, our country and the world.



http://www.patriotwatch.com/GeneralChong.htm

  

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ValguarneraTue 05-Sep-06 03:26 PM
Member since 04th Mar 2003
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#191, "RE: Vitriol:"
In response to Reply #16


          

Wow. I'll never accuse you of thinly veiled racism again.

As an aside, you mentioned getting that essay from "Coast to Coast with George Norry". I hadn't heard of the show, but their recap of last night's show begins with "Author Jeff Danelek presented his research into ghosts and reincarnation. First hour guest, remote viewer Paul H. Smith shared an update....", and tonight's recap begins with "UFO researcher Richard Dolan will discuss the latest developments in the structure of secrecy in the government."

I suspect there are better sources of political analysis out there.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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DurNominatorTue 05-Sep-06 04:06 PM
Member since 08th Nov 2004
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#193, "RE: Vitriol:"
In response to Reply #17


          

He dug it up from:

http://www.patriotwatch.com/GeneralChong.htm

which is a biased pro-military(and apparently pro-war as well) source. Odrirg posted the same post to OT board in Dio's where it has been discussed to some extent(with Odrirg and Pro supporting the message in it). The discussion can be found from:

http://www.qhcf.net/cforum/ot/vpost.pl?61665

  

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TacTue 05-Sep-06 03:57 PM
Member since 15th Nov 2005
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#192, "Wow... just wow...."
In response to Reply #16


          

I reserve the right to tear this, and you for agreeing with it into tiny little piece at some future date, but right now, I'm mind numb from the stupidity of this essay.

The way to win any war is to remove the desire of the opposing force to fight. If you think you can do this through force when the opposing force is willing to commit suicide, you are mistaken. The only way this "war" will ever be won is by assimilation. We are the Borg, and resistance is futile, and our culture, which is really what we are fighting to instill in Iraq, is a war machine of unfathomable power.

You are Pro should get together and talk... the result would no doubt make Abot and Costello's who's on first sketch look like an intelligent flow of normal conversation. I worry about the universe imploding though...

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe." Albert Einstein

  

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ValguarneraTue 05-Sep-06 04:32 PM
Member since 04th Mar 2003
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#194, "RE: Wow... just wow...."
In response to Reply #18


          

Your point about culture is why I no longer worry about China's rapidly expanding military power, whereas your more isolationalist states (North Korea, and increasingly Iran) concern me. Intarwebs, blue jeans, and Hollywood have inadvertantly helped us a great deal in terms of "hearts and minds", whereas you can't really say that for a number of our recent military and diplomatic decisions.

The reverse is true about assimilation as well. People in the U.S. get a greater share of international news, cuisine, goods, and entertainment than ever before. It's also why attitudes towards foreigners tend to be more positive in large cities and universities, where people have more occasion to acquire this international culture, and more opportunities to meet people from other nations.

I work in the national security field. I know that it's dumb to stand around with your thumbs in your pockets, and it's sensible to do things like thoroughly check goods at the airport, the ports, etc. I also know that Timothy McVeigh, Eric Robert Rudolph, the Unabomber, and the still-uncaught anthrax mailer (recent terrorists who are conveniently unmentioned in Odrirg's post) caused a great deal of humanitarian and economic damage, and thus it's both sensible and moral to address actions rather than skin tones (or what Invisible Sky Wizard they like most).

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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TacTue 05-Sep-06 04:37 PM
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#195, "Heh..."
In response to Reply #20


          

Apparently we share similar world views... so long as the world isn't CF.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Wed 06-Sep-06 06:16 PM
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#206, "This is a Fallacious argument."
In response to Reply #20
Edited on Wed 06-Sep-06 06:25 PM

          

Two of those three were Religious extremists, one a Political Hack (Left wing) and they represents a proportion of the population that would probably look something like this....300 out of 350,000.

Islam is a very real threat and it does have geographical centers.

As for assimilation this is often true, but people don't allways assimilate, they may marginalize (I.E. Reject/Rejected by Parent Culture and Local culture) or they can infiltrate.

There are other levels as well I;m not recalling but those will suffice.

The Mexican Invasion, and that is what it is -VIVA AZTLAN- is a concerted effort by the Mexican government to Populate and Separate our SW states. Their governments have stated it openly and it's seen in their Mexican Flag waving Demonstrations.

You've got to be trying to miss it if you don't see it or you may be one of those that just wish to see us fail.

I;ve never understood the hatred people have for a country that has done so much good for the world.

An Invasion is an Invasion with or without Guns.


Edit: Getting political info from a website that espouses the Merrits of UFO sightings does seem a bit odd.

  

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ValguarneraThu 07-Sep-06 02:58 PM
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#225, "RE: "Mexican invasion""
In response to Reply #30


          

"The Mexican Invasion, and that is what it is -VIVA AZTLAN- is a concerted effort by the Mexican government to Populate and Separate our SW states. Their governments have stated it openly and it's seen in their Mexican Flag waving Demonstrations. You've got to be trying to miss it if you don't see it or you may be one of those that just wish to see us fail."

I guess I fail to see the political point of an invasion where millions of Mexican immigrants sweep over the border, take largely menial jobs, and provide the backbone of the Southwest's economy. It's more believable to me that individuals see a chance to make 5x or 10x their current salary and are willing to do what they have to do to take it, border be damned. They're not gathering in El Secret Mexican Plotting Dome, hatching schemes to take hundreds of thousands of backbreaking agricultural jobs in a miserably hot climate, saying "That'll show those gringos!"

Their arrival doesn't make America "fail". Countless waves of previous immigrants (my ancestors included, and yours more likely than not) came here undereducated, with little grasp of English, but willing (or just forced, depending on their continent of origin) to work on farms, mines, mills, railroads, or whatever else was available. Just like the current Latino immigrants, they put up with xenophobic morons yelling "Go Back To _______". And we're the nation we are precisely because they didn't go back.

There's a reason Washington won't touch the illegal immigration issue. They know how much the country as a whole is strengthened by it.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 03:02 PM
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#226, "Why won't they legalize it?"
In response to Reply #47


          

I don't understand why unrestricted immigration is a bad thing. Can someone explain it to me?

  

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ValguarneraThu 07-Sep-06 03:18 PM
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#227, "My take:"
In response to Reply #48


          

Unrestricted legal immigration would mean paying the millions of currently-undocumented workers the minimum wage, enrolling them in certain benefits programs, permitting labor unions in their industries, etc. Big price tag. Right now, the employers in the Southwest readily use the threat of deportation to keep their employees silent and poor.

From a theoretical stance, I'd greatly prefer if we had a real system. People can come in on a work visa, and they can stay as long as they have steady employment and don't commit serious crimes. In addition, they would pass through the standard background checks and such that all legal immigrants undergo to make sure we aren't importing dangerous people, negating one of the significant drawbacks of the current (non-)system.

A variant on that would be low-restriction legal immigration with a point system, similar to Canada's. There, you get credit for work experience, education, and skills which make you attractive to prospective employers (including fluency in English/French). The more of that you have, the easier it is to enter. Not very Statue Of Liberty in philosophy, but apparently very effective in improving your bottom line.

But any of the above would cost a lot more money than the current "look the other way" system does, and that comes with a lot of inertia. Congress will put on a dog-n-pony show as needed, but I don't foresee any real changes in the short term.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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nepentheThu 07-Sep-06 03:27 PM
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#228, "RE: Why won't they legalize it?"
In response to Reply #48


          

The first thing that comes to mind is that it's a less chaotic process if there are limits on where and how fast it can occur, whether those limits are based in legal immigration quotas or illegal immigration being semi hard/dangerous so not everyone who might like to does it.

The other thing is that if you limit how fast immigration can occur, you more strongly preserve the 'base' culture.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 10:24 PM
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#257, "RE: Why won't they legalize it?"
In response to Reply #50


          

See my post about healthcare. Our system has been strung together with too many assumptions made. Our tax system, our healthcare system, etc would fall apart.

Now, I'm all in favor of tearing apart the retarded system we have and going with a more practical, minimalist approach which may work better with an open border (fair tax comes to mind, as one step in the right direction), but there's far too much political intertia against changing what's there. The government likes the system the way it is, even if its inefficient. It gives them a lot of power to modify and tweak things to win elections and hook up their friends and it gives them a tight control over everything. The only problem is that, the system itself is flawed, because its based upon many assumptions related to our tax system. Thats how we determine employment rates, wages, etc. If you suddenly took the fences down, the whole system would crash.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 10:33 PM
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#258, "RE: Why won't they legalize it?"
In response to Reply #77


          

On a sidenote, my belief of this is largely why I've withdrawn from the "right vs left" arguments or the "Democrat vs Republican" arguments. Frankly, if I'm going to argue against anyone, I'm going to argue against the concept of politicians altogether. Because arguing about 'what we can do with social security' is irrelevant, because even if the guy is selling that to get elected, that doesn't mean he'll actually put it into action when he's in office. Far more often, all these happy little ideas get talked about in the debates, then conveniently forgotten when its too much of a politcally turbulent issue.

  

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AodhFri 08-Sep-06 12:26 AM
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#261, "We'll probably have to kill them all. nt"
In response to Reply #78


          

nt

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 03:41 PM
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#230, "RE: Why won't they legalize it?"
In response to Reply #48


          

Given our current system of social benefits, the poor operate at a negative balance when it comes to "taxes contributed" vs. "tax-funded dollars consumed". The more poor people you add, assuming the programs and their parameters stay fixed, the more money needs to be paid in taxes by those who operate at a positive balance (i.e. paying in more than they take out). At some point, the system just breaks down. Imho if the level of social benefits in this country were similar to what it was during the last great wave of immigration, the power brokers would be alot more inclined to throw open the gates. Thing is, there's no going back.

(This is where I insert my plug for the FairTax, pointing out how it would mitigate the motivation for people to immigrate illegally.)

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 04:32 PM
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#233, "You pointed out the danger."
In response to Reply #47


          

They won't come here for menial jobs. They will usurp the entire area.

If they are legal, why would they do hard jobs that before they could only get under the table.

They will vote in their leaders then secede and thus the birth of Aztlan.


It's going to happen because of a complete lack of understanding of the human condition. Unless we hammer people for hiring them, lock down the border to all but trade and let their numbles dwindle over time though the prosses of day to day deportation.

  

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nepentheThu 07-Sep-06 05:47 PM
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#244, "RE: You pointed out the danger."
In response to Reply #55


          

>They won't come here for menial jobs. They will usurp the
>entire area.
>
>If they are legal, why would they do hard jobs that before
>they could only get under the table.
>
>They will vote in their leaders then secede and thus the birth
>of Aztlan.

... what would be the point in that?

Illegal Mexican immigrants can get better jobs in America precisely because it IS America. If they were capable of setting up better wages in Mexico, they'd probably just do that.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 06:28 PM
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#251, "Uhm.. Geography."
In response to Reply #64


          

Ca is the 10th largets economy in the world.

Mountains have metals

Ranch lands

Crops in fertile valleys

Oil,

Ready made cities with increadible import/export capability.

Cheap white and black laborers.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 10:18 PM
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#256, "Don't marginalize the harm of it however."
In response to Reply #47


          

>"The Mexican Invasion, and that is what it is -VIVA
>AZTLAN- is a concerted effort by the Mexican government to
>Populate and Separate our SW states. Their governments have
>stated it openly and it's seen in their Mexican Flag waving
>Demonstrations. You've got to be trying to miss it if you
>don't see it or you may be one of those that just wish to see
>us fail."

>
>I guess I fail to see the political point of an invasion where
>millions of Mexican immigrants sweep over the border, take
>largely menial jobs, and provide the backbone of the
>Southwest's economy.

Well, obviously I don't see what the conspiracy is. However, there are unpleasant side effects to illegal immigration. For one, it wreaks utter havok on healthcare costs. For two, it lowers baseline wages for those 'menial' jobs, that many people depend on to survive. The combination of those two factors is why the % of people with no healthcare in this country is rising.

> It's more believable to me that
>individuals see a chance to make 5x or 10x their current
>salary and are willing to do what they have to do to take it,
>border be damned. They're not gathering in El Secret Mexican
>Plotting Dome, hatching schemes to take hundreds of thousands
>of backbreaking agricultural jobs in a miserably hot climate,
>saying "That'll show those gringos!"

To be fair, these are also not the only types of jobs that illegals work.

>Their arrival doesn't make America "fail". Countless waves of
>previous immigrants (my ancestors included, and yours more
>likely than not) came here undereducated, with little grasp of
>English, but willing (or just forced, depending on their
>continent of origin) to work on farms, mines, mills,
>railroads, or whatever else was available. Just like the
>current Latino immigrants, they put up with xenophobic morons
>yelling "Go Back To _______". And we're the nation we are
>precisely because they didn't go back.

Well, lets not glorify the past. Back in those times, the healthcare system wasn't as it was today. People used to get sent to Arizona as late as the 50's for having tuburculosis(sp?). I mean, it does certainly cause an effect on our *CURRENT* system, and a lot of that has to do with the fact that our *CURRENT* system is stupid.

Regarding healthcare, a few minor examples. The tax structure built to support our military spending and bloated federal/state governments have caused cost-of-living to grow exponentially since 'the days of yore'. How many jobs have pensions these days? Pretty much strictly government and union jobs. The operating costs, therefore, of places like hospitals, have driven drastically. Additionally, every step along the way has become more expensive, from drug research to packaging to shipping of pharmaceuticals to staffing pharmacies.

To add to that, other countries place limits on how much drugs can cost. Their share of the costs, therefore, get passed back to the US. This already creates a very expensive situation for our healthcare. Toss in that people typically live longer, yada yada yada.

Now enter into illegal immigration. In every place I've seen, you cannot be denied medical aid in a hospital emergency room. Illegal immigrants and people without healthcare therefore rack up large bills which then go into credit. However, people default, go bankrupt, or in the case of illegals, merely cannot be held accountable for those costs. Those hospitals still need to make bottom line, therefore, we foot the bill for those costs.

All these things drive the cost of healthcare so high, that you truly require health care insurance in order to adequately provide for your health services. The way health insurance companies get their premium pool for an area, is doubling what they spent last year. Medicare, additionally, regularly declines full payment for medical services, which causes doctors to raise their rates and 'up-code' more aggressively against other payers. The net result is exorbitant healthcare insurance costs that are padded by their near 100% profit margins.

And while illegals aren't the sole cause, they're certainly not an ignorable portion of the costs. The way our system is tightly strung together, imbalances like illegal immigration wreak financial havok on the low wage earning blue collar class in this country.

>There's a reason Washington won't touch the illegal
>immigration issue. They know how much the country as a whole
>is strengthened by it.

They don't touch it because its good for them. They aren't part of the population I stated above. The right benefits because big business benefits and upper middle class benefits. The left benefits because a large portion of their voters are so far into the low wage earning department that social programs take care of their medical coverage and many of them are tax exempt so this really doesn't apply. Like usual, the people who get screwed most are the ones just above that, who for pride or whatever reason won't play the system.

>valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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MuulocFri 08-Sep-06 01:40 AM
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#264, "RE: Don't marginalize the harm of it however."
In response to Reply #76


          

The reason we don't have healthcare is because our government spends way too much on our military. Cut our defense budget a bit and you can easily handle healthcare.

Blaming illegal immigrants is hypocritical. Show me someone who can trace every ancestor back to a legal immigrant and I'll show you a native american.

  

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ValguarneraFri 08-Sep-06 08:55 AM
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#265, "Quick note on that:"
In response to Reply #83


          

According to the first geneology site to creep up in Google (http://www.baby-names-meanings.com), the poster you're replying to has a last name that means "son of the reddish-brown man".

On the flip side, Wikipedia the character from V for Vendettawho shares his last name.

Ah, Google.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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EskelianFri 08-Sep-06 09:01 AM
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#267, "RE: Quick note on that:"
In response to Reply #84


          

I'm not Pro. Additionally, I didn't say anything remotely having to do with race/color/creed, merely simple, unbiased financials.

  

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ValguarneraFri 08-Sep-06 09:38 AM
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#271, "Whoops."
In response to Reply #86


          

Thread is complicated.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:16 AM
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#277, "According to Darwyn"
In response to Reply #84


          

We are all son of Hairy Ape man.

How is that relevant to our current system. Aren't you guys supposed to be proggressive?

Learn from the past, don't live it.

  

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EskelianFri 08-Sep-06 08:55 AM
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#266, "Thats absurd."
In response to Reply #83


          

> The reason we don't have healthcare is because our government spends way too much on our military. Cut our defense budget a bit and you can easily handle healthcare.

Except, in any socialistic form of healthcare, the prices skyrocket or are legislatively capped. This has the effect of either jacking up our taxes or stagnating medical research. Both of those are sucky alternatives. I agree we spend too much on military, but why not just give me my money back, altogether, and let me buy my own health insurance? How about a system where competition drives prices down so I don't even need health insurance? By making it part of a government program, you're now introducing inefficiency into the system. Effectively, you're adding a middle man, removing all competition, and I'm additionally paying extra for at no benefit to myself. Why would I want that?

>Blaming illegal immigrants is hypocritical. Show me someone who can trace every ancestor back to a legal immigrant and I'll show you a native american.

Did you actually read my post or just whip out this templated response? Our 'ancestors' weren't guaranteed medical care in hospitals, and the fees weren't nearly what they are today. They didn't have the system of credit/bankruptcy that we have today. My grandfather didn't abuse the emergency room situation, because for one it didn't exist, and for two he didn't have to. People today have to, because the prices are so incredibly high. Long story short, why don't you stop associating anything negatively said about illegal immigration with racism and hypocrisy and actually evaluate it on its own merits?

  

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IsildurFri 08-Sep-06 09:45 AM
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#273, "RE: Don't marginalize the harm of it however."
In response to Reply #83


          

>Blaming illegal immigrants is hypocritical. Show me someone
>who can trace every ancestor back to a legal immigrant and
>I'll show you a native american.

Native Americans didn't have laws against immigration, so the European settlers can't really be described as "illegal".

I'm about as American as they come. My direct male ancestor immigrated to Virginia around 1650. You have to go back 5 generations in my family to find anyone who wasn't born in the United States. And I think Pro's insane.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:17 AM
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#278, "Completely rational."
In response to Reply #91


          

Just not entirely articulate.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:13 AM
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#276, "3.4% of our GNP goes to the military."
In response to Reply #83


          

You are wrong.

  

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ValguarneraFri 08-Sep-06 12:25 PM
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#287, "Do you even know what a GNP is?"
In response to Reply #93
Edited on Fri 08-Sep-06 12:43 PM

          

Edit: Forgot to include military spending by non-DoD federal agencies.

The relevant comparison is the size of the federal budget, because that's the money the government controls, and can allocate. The GNP is a measure of the total value of goods and services produced by that country. The federal government can't allocate more money to healthcare because a factory sold a million extra TVs that year. (Beyond what they collect in taxes, which do end up in the federal budget.)

In 2007, we will spend $2.8 trillion. $244 billion gets taken right out, because it's interest on the debt, and therefore money we don't really have. Defense spending, military spending by non-DoD sources, and veterans' affairs total $653 billion of what remains, which is 25% of the total money we can spend. I'm being kind and pretending that we won't overspend the budget, even though the Iraq War has constantly done so for years, and will probably overspend by $100B (add +4% to above figure) in 2007 alone.

$653B is a ridiculous amount of money. We could more than triple our R&D budget (currently $25B) by slicing defense spending by a tenth. Your implication that the military budget is insignificant in the spending picture is completely laughable.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 07:12 PM
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#290, "Military R&D is 72B I think."
In response to Reply #102


          

And it's done largely in the Private sector... I site your own company as an example.

The US Military has allways been the Father of invention.

I think my figures were a spin on the total value of uour Hardware s Our GNP. I'm looking.

I'm all about Greater Tech. The more we have, the more lethal we become, the smaller our military can be, the less we consume, the longer we last.

  

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AodhFri 08-Sep-06 09:18 PM
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#298, "Eventually, we'll be able to kill everyone! ~"
In response to Reply #104


          

hardy har har

  

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MuulocFri 08-Sep-06 01:34 AM
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#263, "RE: This is a Fallacious argument."
In response to Reply #30


          

Go back to Europe, pilgrim.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:18 AM
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#279, "Why?"
In response to Reply #82


          

I don't cut and run.

Learn from the past. Don't live it.

#### white guilt.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Wed 06-Sep-06 06:04 PM
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#205, "As a 17 year Veteran...."
In response to Reply #18


          

There are two ways to win.

Physically and Moraly (Think Moral not Morality).

It's a military certainty that the ONLY way to defeat a fanatic is physically since he is dedicated to his ideology.

They can't be reasoned with. They can only be destroyed. Let peace fill in the vacuum of their absence.

  

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nepentheWed 06-Sep-06 11:07 PM
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#210, "RE: As a 17 year Veteran...."
In response to Reply #29


          


>It's a military certainty that the ONLY way to defeat a
>fanatic is physically since he is dedicated to his ideology.

I'm going to try to keep this brief and not write 50 pages, because there's CF stuff I want to do yet tonight.

Simply, I think you underestimate the transformitive power of the American culture and way of life. The way you push that isn't invading some random country in the Middle East; that makes it a lot harder for it to do is job and spread freedom, ironically.

Is Osama Bin Ladin going to give up his way of life and start hanging out at a McDonalds, watching Friends reruns, and listening to Britney Spears? No, of course not. Guys like that, yes, you either need to kill or marginalize by forcing them to live in caves in the middle of bumble#### nowhere. Even most of the liberal Americans that you deride aren't arguing that one.

But, give it a generation or two. Let the greatness of the Western way of modern life (such as it is) work its miracles, there aren't going to be any more OBLs. Or, if there are, they're going to be guys like the Unabomber who are living in the midst of a population that does not support the stuff they want to do, and thus, are made much less dangerous as a result.

The Cold War wasn't won on a battlefield. Overall, this is no different. Soviet Union propaganda-dudes back in the day lied to their people about what life in America was like, just as many governments of the Middle East or clerical leaders do today. The world is getting smaller, and truth and freedom can't be held back forever, not by anyone.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 01:38 AM
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#212, "RE: As a 17 year Veteran...."
In response to Reply #34


          

I'm going to try to keep this brief and not write 50 pages, because there's CF stuff I want to do yet tonight.

Simply, I think you underestimate the transformitive power of the American culture and way of life. The way you push that isn't invading some random country in the Middle East; that makes it a lot harder for it to do is job and spread freedom, ironically.

Is Osama Bin Ladin going to give up his way of life and start hanging out at a McDonalds, watching Friends reruns, and listening to Britney Spears? No, of course not. Guys like that, yes, you either need to kill or marginalize by forcing them to live in caves in the middle of bumble#### nowhere. Even most of the liberal Americans that you deride aren't arguing that one.

Guys like "that" are the leaders. Don't you watch TV? Have you been over there where they go to a Mosque and do nothing but pray? Western culture and Eastern Culture both have attractive merrits to us. But to them it is denied because of the iron handed governments they have. And I don't give a ####. They canal desicate in the desert for all I care. The problem is, they've had Western/Eastern culture for Centries and it's never stoped the acts of Violence. Agression to US policy goes back to the 1800 with the Barbary Pirates.


But, give it a generation or two. Let the greatness of the Western way of modern life (such as it is) work its miracles, there aren't going to be any more OBLs. Or, if there are, they're going to be guys like the Unabomber who are living in the midst of a population that does not support the stuff they want to do, and thus, are made much less dangerous as a result.


There have been plenty of Generations. The last 75 years made them Rich beyond belief. Now in their free time they fund and export terrorism. What's more Saudi Arabia is a massive supporter of producer of them. 18 or the 19 were Sauds.



The Cold War wasn't won on a battlefield. Overall, this is no different. Soviet Union propaganda-dudes back in the day lied to their people about what life in America was like, just as many governments of the Middle East or clerical leaders do today. The world is getting smaller, and truth and freedom can't be held back forever, not by anyone.

That's just naive. Our cultures are breaking down in large measure because of Entropy. Western Societies are soft and weak and worried more about hurting an agressors feelings than defending their own people.

I don't believe I have to love anyone. I believe I have to shoot the ####er comming in my door to rape my daughters. I don't agree or disagree wih Iraq. I'm a soldier and I'm glad we are over there if only to disrupt them in that area so they can't mass against us. The turmoil you see in the news about us is nothing to the mayhem those ####ers are feeling. They are tribesmen and they all interpret the Koran their way. One thing rings true for all of them though. Christians, jews and everyone not Muslim must die.

That's not hype, that's notpropaganda, that's not a minority of their culture. It is their culture. Don't take my word for it look around the world at the major conlicts with nations other than our own and see who's involed...Islam. Muslims.

Islam means To Submit for #### sake.

  

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nepentheThu 07-Sep-06 08:53 AM
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#214, "RE: As a 17 year Veteran...."
In response to Reply #35


          

The disconnect here, in essence, is that you need to think a certain way to be able to function as a soldier. I get that. If you think to yourself, this dude with a gun pointed at me might have a legitimate beef with my country, or, he might also have kids he really wants to see again, you can't function out there. You might hesitate when you should kill, and get yourself or other soldiers killed. So you end up in a mindset (which the U.S. Army, smartly, encourages) of thinking the other guy is a fanatical killbot who's just dying to murder and rape you and everyone you care about, because you'd never hesitate to kill that guy.

I get that these things are necessary, but they don't reflect reality.

>Guys like "that" are the leaders. Don't you watch TV? Have you
>been over there where they go to a Mosque and do nothing but
>pray? Western culture and Eastern Culture both have attractive
>merrits to us. But to them it is denied because of the iron
>handed governments they have. And I don't give a ####. They
>canal desicate in the desert for all I care. The problem is,
>they've had Western/Eastern culture for Centries and it's
>never stoped the acts of Violence. Agression to US policy goes
>back to the 1800 with the Barbary Pirates.

Well, let's just look at OBL for example. Where did that guy come from? Essentially, he was trained by the U.S. government to fight the Russians in Afghanistan for them by proxy.

From that, you might draw the conclusions:

1) Obviously, at that point, he wasn't uncompromisingly murderous towards America or the West as you're saying all Muslims are. And that's one of their leaders.

2) Maybe if we (and other governments) stopped creating guys like OBL to do our dirty work for us in other parts of the world, in a generation or two there would be... I won't say no guys like that, but certainly LESS of them.

The world is too small a place. You can't train terrorists and turn them loose on your enemies and think that in no way will that ever come back to you.

Dictators generally rise to power by blaming some external source or threat for all of the problems of a people. We should stop making it so easy for it to be us. That doesn't mean you give in to terrorists, but it also means you don't go out of your way to help them recruit.

>There have been plenty of Generations.

Well, ideally a couple of generations wherein we try not to #### with their countries too much and just let Desperate Housewives work them over for a while.

I know that sounds ridiculous, but think about it. How often do we fight countries that watch our sitcoms and have McDonalds?

How often did we fight those countries 50-100 years ago?

>The last 75 years made
>them Rich beyond belief. Now in their free time they fund and
>export terrorism. What's more Saudi Arabia is a massive
>supporter of producer of them. 18 or the 19 were Sauds.

I actually agree with you here to a point... I think it's ####ty that 9/11 blame went pretty much everywhere BUT there. I actually would have been much more behind invading Saudi Arabia than Iraq.

>Western Societies are soft and
>weak and worried more about hurting an agressors feelings than
>defending their own people.

That's not really how it is. That said, if you kill terrorists but do it in a way that, for every one you kill you convince 10 people who wouldn't have been terrorists that they should be, you can't ever win that war with anything less than genocide.

  

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ValguarneraThu 07-Sep-06 11:04 AM
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#217, "It's worth noting that:"
In response to Reply #37


          

I know that sounds ridiculous, but think about it. How often do we fight countries that watch our sitcoms and have McDonalds?

Thomas Friedman actually wrote a book chapter about how no two nations with a McDonald's have ever gone to war. (McDonald's entering a nation is in some way a yardstick of industrialization, the emergence of a middle class, positive attitudes towards foreigners in general, etc.) I found a quick summary of "The Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention" here, though it was sadly damaged by the recent eruption of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel, and depends on how you classify the NATO action against McDonald's-having Serbia. (Regarding the former, Friedman loyalists will likely point out that it was Hezbollah, not the Lebanese government per se that provoked the conflict, and Hezbollah is essentially a proxy of Iran and Syria, both of which lack the McNugget technology.)

Later revisions have argued that McDonald's is too low-rent to be a good yardstick, and have suggested either Starbucks or Dell as a substitute.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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nepentheThu 07-Sep-06 01:28 PM
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#218, "RE: It's worth noting that:"
In response to Reply #40


          

As it happens, I've read Lexus and the Olive Tree. I didn't bring up the Golden Arches Theory per se because I wasn't sure it had stood the test of time, but regardless the principle is pretty sound.

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 02:02 PM
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#220, "Question:"
In response to Reply #41


          

If we agree* that spreading our culture is the most effective way to win**?

My proposal would be completely unrestricted and non-government regulated trade and immigration between America and Iraq. Not to say security measure aren't taken, but something akin to the relationship between US/Canada.

Any other ideas?

Also, this is a random but not wholly unrelated question: Would it be cheaper to bring*** people from other countries to work jobs in the US for minimum wage with the idea that the infrastructure building and transport costs (for the end product) go to nearly zero, or build infrastructure and transport capabilities from the ground up, but pay the people 50 cents a day? Which is more morally acceptable?

(*) Obviously we don't all agree, but assume we do, like a math proof.

(**) I couldn't think of a better way to describe the desired end state.

(***) This would be an entirely volunteer action on their part. Perhaps with companies granting loans or somesuch so that people could bring their families. I don't, it's random.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 02:09 PM
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#222, "To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #42


          

My culture does not matter.

Why is it the left espouses erasing our borders?

There seems to be this mindset that every culture excet ours is good.

Free Trade zones are going to be the death of civilization.

  

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A2Thu 07-Sep-06 02:30 PM
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#223, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #44


  

          

Why does your "culture" require being in a bubble to survive?

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 04:35 PM
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#235, "Who once said it needed to be in a bubble? Anyone?"
In response to Reply #45


          

I've never said that. Ever.

But I am for controlling our borders and trade. I for one see nothing wrong with being an American and letting the rest of the world be what they are.

We can make kissy kissy but at the end of the day I want the red right and blue.

I don't wan't to be European.

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 02:56 PM
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#224, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #44
Edited on Thu 07-Sep-06 02:59 PM

          

How does this question: "If we agree* that spreading our culture is the most effective way to win" (how do we go about doing it)?*

Evoke this response:

>My culture does not matter.

Is yours the culture of military conquest, in which case spreading culture through presumably non-militaristic ways means it is in danger? Honestly man I don't get it.

>Why is it the left espouses erasing our borders?

I am not left. I am not for "erasing" any borders. I also think that anyone who wants to come here should be able to. They should be documented, just as the thousand who came through Elis Island were, but they should be welcome, because it just plain makes sense.

>There seems to be this mindset that every culture excet ours
>is good.

And yet my mindset was that every culture except ours should be subverted by ours (or something like that). I mean I'm full on against MySpace, iPods, Reality TV, and many other things in our culture, but there is something underneath it (freedom) that is so strong, I think everyone should join in.

>Free Trade zones are going to be the death of civilization.

Please explain. If we opened up a free trade zone between here and a fictional third world south american country.... would not both places benefit?

(*) I should proofread as that is what my question was supposed to ask.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 03:34 PM
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#229, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #46


          

>I am not left. I am not for "erasing" any borders. I also
>think that anyone who wants to come here should be able to.
>They should be documented, just as the thousand who came
>through Elis Island were, but they should be welcome, because
>it just plain makes sense.

Immigration needs to be managed, and I don't just mean documentation and citizenship. Even in the Ellis Island days they were selective about who got in. And they were alot less PC than we would be nowdays. If you were diseased you might not get in. If you were uneducated you might not get in. If you had any sort of mental illness or "criminal tendencies" you might not get in. I'm not saying those should necessarily be our criteria, but it's a regrettable fact that the U.S. economy cannot support the near-endless addition of poor, unskilled citizens. At least, not without drastically altering (read: cutting) the sorts of social programs our govt. currently offers.

Imho the U.S. can support much higher levels of immigration than it currently legally allows. But I definitely disagree that the borders should be thrown open for anyone and everyone.

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 03:58 PM
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#231, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #51


          

I'm ok with those criteria.

I'm ok with drastically altering (cutting) the sort of social programs our government currently offers.

I think combined with FairTax (which I've been trying to tell people about, but no one cares) things would balance out nicely.

Thrown open for anyone and everyone? No, perhaps I meant unlimited (based on numbers, but not on criteria*) immigration.

(*) Canada's point system seems like a good idea, but then I think you should have to take some sort of test before being legally allowed to breed. Ever hear the saying "Only stupid people breed"... Enough of my quasi-insane views for one day.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 04:40 PM
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#238, "The fair tax is a Great idea."
In response to Reply #53


          

And I support it.

As someone else pointed out it would have the added benifit of keeping more Illegal money here.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 04:58 PM
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#242, "RE: The fair tax is a Great idea."
In response to Reply #59


          

Then don't tell anyone. I don't want it damned by association.

  

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WilhathThu 07-Sep-06 06:11 PM
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#249, "Heh. nt"
In response to Reply #62


          

.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 04:49 PM
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#239, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #53


          

>I'm ok with drastically altering (cutting) the sort of social
>programs our government currently offers.

But most people aren't. Or, at least, there are enough people who aren't okay with it that you'll never see them get axed.

>Thrown open for anyone and everyone? No, perhaps I meant
>unlimited (based on numbers, but not on criteria*)
>immigration.

I agree with having criteria. But if you include "poor" and "unskilled" among the criteria that would exclude someone, then those people will just immigrate illegally. That is, assuming it's financially feasible for them. That's made less true with a FairTax, and with non-insignificant penalties for businesses that knowingly (or negligently) hire illegals.

Short of draconian measures (execution), the cheapest (and, really, the only effective) way to keep people from immigrating illegally is to remove their motivation for doing so.

>I think you should have to take some sort of test before being
>legally allowed to breed.

That's a terrible idea. Are you going to throw people in jail for having unprotected sex? Or will you sterilize people against their will? Or force women to have abortions? It's an incredible invasion of privacy any way you slice it.

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 05:49 PM
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#245, "One dose of insanity...."
In response to Reply #60


          

>>I'm ok with drastically altering (cutting) the sort of
>social
>>programs our government currently offers.
>
>But most people aren't. Or, at least, there are enough people
>who aren't okay with it that you'll never see them get axed.

I'll agree that this is true, and be baffled by the why of it. IMHO most of our "social" programs actually help propogate the very things they were put in place to help alleviate.

>>Thrown open for anyone and everyone? No, perhaps I meant
>>unlimited (based on numbers, but not on criteria*)
>>immigration.
>
>I agree with having criteria. But if you include "poor" and
>"unskilled" among the criteria that would exclude someone,
>then those people will just immigrate illegally. That is,
>assuming it's financially feasible for them. That's made less
>true with a FairTax, and with non-insignificant penalties for
>businesses that knowingly (or negligently) hire illegals.

Neither "poor" nor "unskilled" were in your original list of criteria.

>>I think you should have to take some sort of test before
>being
>>legally allowed to breed.
>
>That's a terrible idea. Are you going to throw people in jail
>for having unprotected sex? Or will you sterilize people
>against their will? Or force women to have abortions? It's
>an incredible invasion of privacy any way you slice it.
>

No, I have no idea how to implement said idea, but I see quite a few people who are incapable of taking care of their own lives who insist on having children who they also cannot take care of, and make it that much harder for them to get their own life under control. These people aren't smart enough or careful enough, or don't care enough to prevent themselves from having children, and yet they are allowed to do so. I don't want to invade people's privacy, but I also have a hard time letting stupid people make bad decisions that make their lives worse. It is a terrible idea. There is no feasible way to accomplish it, but that really wasn't the point.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 04:39 PM
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#237, "30 Million Illegals in 10 years."
In response to Reply #51


          

Do the math. That's a culture killer.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 05:08 PM
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#243, "RE: 30 Million Illegals in 10 years."
In response to Reply #58


          

Where do you get your numbers? According to this site:

http://www.cis.org/articles/2002/back1302.html

As of 2002, the total of all immigrants, legal and illegal, from all countries, is 33.1 million. They comprise 11.5% of the total population, which is the highest level in 70 years, but still shy of the all-time high of 14.8% in 1890. Basically the 2002 level was the same as the 1930 level.

Did the country collapse? Did the culture collapse? No, but it arguably became more diverse. Which imho isn't a bad thing. I like the fact that I can get decent enchiladas at umpteen different places within 15 minutes of my house. I like the fact that Italian food is now a "staple" genre that's ubiquitously available. I like the fact that I can buy a Shwarma from a middle-eastern guy, or Thai food from a Thai. Yay multiculturalism.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 07:16 PM
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#252, "It grew."
In response to Reply #63
Edited on Thu 07-Sep-06 08:06 PM

          

Populations on earth are too large as it is.

I for one am for a smaller more efficient nation.


I don't want us to go extinct. I want us in the stars.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 04:37 PM
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#236, "I think we should stop ALL immigration"
In response to Reply #46


          

With perhaps a few exceptions for Defectors or similar cases.

Immigration is just a way of feeding consummerism. It's feeding todays mouths t the expense of humanities future.

The US will take us to the star if anyone will, I believe this, if we ca reinstill a will to succeed in ourselves.

I don't need 20 more Haji's moving in next door so I can have 3 morte 711's.

  

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TacThu 07-Sep-06 05:51 PM
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#247, "So can we deport you?"
In response to Reply #57


          

Cause you sure as #### aren't a Native American.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 10:00 PM
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#255, "RE: I think we should stop ALL immigration"
In response to Reply #57


          

Jeez. I think you have a very one sided view of cultural exchange.

Maybe because every 'industry' you've worked for involves violence, you haven't seen the good aspects of culture exchange. Regardless, I can say some of the most rewarding experiences I've had in my line of work is having met intelligent people from other countries and had the opportunity to learn about their culture.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:09 AM
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#275, "Where I think a lot of you misunderstand me is here...."
In response to Reply #75


          

I do not like the state the world is in. Our populations are growing and using up rescources at an enormous rate. Our current success is a short lived one if we do not preserve what we have.

As far as cultural diversity, I think it's safe to say I've travelled the world more than most here. I've circled it twice and been to more countries than I can remember.

I don't hate anyone except the Islamic radicals.

My dislike of the illegal invasion is just that, it's an invasion.

What you call a cultural exchange is all to often a matter of one population (In any area of the world) moving in until they shift the demographic through shear numbers.

I do not hold to the Idea that the United States is an evil Imperialistic nation, I believe we are a force for good. If it seems otherwise it's because our need to consume forces us to extend our influence out to other nations.

We need to learn from our own Aboriginal Ancestry and note that if you do not band together and stop it now, then it's over.

I'm not going to be hit with racial guilt and silenced through political correctness.

We have a problem, the world is about to die and I think the US is at a point where we can change gears and come out on top when Europe and the rest of the world sinks back into the Dark Ages.

It's not a guarantee that the Internet and working plumbing is going to be around in 100 years.

I have seen who regions where the cities look like our own beloved Ruined Keep.

I'm for defending and preemtivly acting on preserving and maintaining what we have. I would like to see our population drop to half of what we have, and I would like to see our national efforts make magor headway into the sciences.

The rest of the world can die around us for all I care. It's their responsibility t survive, not ours to carry them.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 09:58 PM
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#254, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #46


          

Who does it make sense to?

Where are you from, out of curiousity? We get plenty of culture from immigration. But, the way the system works, we also get the best and brightest from other cultures, often. I prefer it that way.

  

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EshvalWed 13-Sep-06 12:55 AM
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#331, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #44


  

          

As an anthropologist, allow me to mention, you misuse or do not understand the proper use of the word 'culture'. The US does not have a 'culture' as you seem to believe, nor is this a disputed issue by academia. I would caution basing arguments on a shakey foundation.

Eshval's email
BlackMarquessa@gmail.com

Eshval's slightly off-center (unofficial) blog.
http://blackmarquessa.blogspot.com/
Carnivàle
http://cirquecarnivale.wordpress.com/

  

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ValkenarWed 13-Sep-06 08:38 AM
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#333, "RE: To me this is the equivilant of saying."
In response to Reply #118
Edited on Wed 13-Sep-06 08:39 AM

          

Then what is the correct word for the set of behaviors, attitudes, arts and beliefs that are demonstrated by the american mainstream and distributed to the rest of the world? I've always used the word culture to describe that, but is there another one?

Or are you saying that the heterogeneity of the population of the US means there's no single culture? If so, then you must realize that people say "US Culture" what they really mean is "mainstream culture" I.E. Mcdonalds, Britney Spears, The Simpsons. What do you call those things if not cultural fixtures?

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 02:05 PM
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#221, "It's worth noting also that I got seriously ####ed up o..."
In response to Reply #41


          

I'm murderous about those behind the Insurgency and I recognize the paralels in my behavior and theirs. My ethics and sense of morality is such that I'm not going out to commit genocide. But under orders I have to be honest, short of killing women and children in a deliberate fashion. I'd line up everyone of those fighters and core their skulls and not lose a moments sleep.

And I'm so emotional just reading about it that I find myself reacting phisiologically.

That being said Valg and you are talking about What I have dubbed the Netenyahu (Sp?) Concept where in Benji said (Paraphrased) "Air Drop in televisions and pump in 97645 (Meaning 90210) to the Iranian youth." They will love it and move to change the government.

It's true, we soften them with Big Macs and they won't feel compelled to war.

I sense that Iran is going through a dynamic shift just as we are, but I'm afraid the old regime is going to blow us the #### up in order to force their younger generation into a militaristic mindset.

What's more I've long since been disillusioned with our own leadership across the board.

Good Read = Mackiavelli (Sp?) 'The Prince'

  

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AodhThu 07-Sep-06 06:26 PM
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#250, "Wait till they slash your benefits. ~ (Blackbird)"
In response to Reply #43


          

uyu

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 10:19 AM
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#281, "They keep increasing mine."
In response to Reply #70


          

And if they do, it's because I will only cry if I did nothing to participate in my government.

  

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BarduinThu 07-Sep-06 04:02 PM
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#232, "A quote..."
In response to Reply #29


          

"Going to war for peace is like ####ing to get your virginity back" I cant remember the source though. =)

Self defence is like sex, its only good if it is nasty.

  

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ValkenarTue 05-Sep-06 05:29 PM
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#196, "Patriotism is hilarious"
In response to Reply #16


          

Bigotry is not as hilarious.

  

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nepentheTue 05-Sep-06 05:59 PM
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#197, "RE: This essey pretty much sums up my current world vie..."
In response to Reply #16


          

I have to admit this is the most ignorant political thing I've read recently. No offense to Odrirg, but it is.

A few comments:

>We cannot fault
>either the Republicans or Democrats as there were no
>provocations by any of the presidents or their immediate
>predecessors, Presidents Ford or Carter.

From the perspective of some Americans this may be true. From the perspective of most people in the Middle East it really isn't, and not without some justification. It's not like America hasn't been involved in military actions in the Middle East during that time that have killed people, including civilians. It's not like weapons provided by Americans haven't done the same.

Now, maybe we did the things we did for reasons that seemed good to us, either just at the time or still. I'll buy that. But, you have to be pretty willfully blind to U.S. history to think that no one in the Middle East could have any rational justification for hating America. That's not to say that terrorist actions are justified, but there are a lot of explanations for the motives that, while not making these actions right, are a lot less silly.

>Hopefully, but that is really not material. There is no doubt
>that the predominately Christian population of Germany was
>peaceful, but under the dictatorial leadership of Hitler (who
>was also Christian), that made no difference. You either went
>along with the administration or you were eliminated. There
>were 5 to 6 million Christians killed by the Nazis for
>political reasons (including 7,000 Polish priests). (see
>>http://www.nazis.testimony.co.uk/7-a.htm )

See this, or look up Godwin\'s Law via the source of your choice.

>No, I blame us for blithely assuming we can maintain all of
>our Political Correctness, and all of our civil rights during
>this conflict and have a clean, lawful, honorable war. None of
>those words apply to war. Get them out of your head.

You can't protect America by subverting civil rights or the Constitution. You can theoretically protect a piece of land and the people who live in it by doing so, but that place isn't America anymore.

>And finally, name any Muslim countries throughout the world
>that allow freedom of speech, freedom of thought, freedom of
>religion, freedom of the press, equal rights for anyone -- let
>alone everyone, equal status or any status for women, or that
>have been productive in one single way that contributes to the
>good of the world.

Yet this essay urges that we transform America into a country that doesn't have these freedoms.

>Democracies don't have their freedoms taken away from them by
>some external military force. Instead, they give their
>freedoms away, politically correct piece by politically
>correct piece.

Or by a government that "just wants to protect" them?

A huge part of what makes America great is its freedom. This essay talks about how peaceful Muslims can't disagree with angry Muslims without being silenced or killed, but then in the next breath urges Americans who disagree with the actions of their government to be silent. That is letting the terrorists win -- letting them take away America's greatness and its culture.

People who disagree with you don't hate America. They don't "want the terrorists to win" -- they just have a different vision of what America is and what's to really be valued about it than you do.

  

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TheLastMohicanTue 05-Sep-06 08:04 PM
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#198, "Losing would be allowing OUR government to become like ..."
In response to Reply #16


          

IE Allowing our Government to slowly erode rights like freedom of choice and such (which most if not all of the Arab countries have beaten down) would do more damage to our Country then losing 1,000,000 soldiers in the Arab world. Losing would be presenting a demonstrative authority over these countries that we propose to help (IE our way or the highway) and making their citizens, who likely have never ever committed an act of terroism, find the US much like their old oppressors.

I am sick of people believing that this problem will be solved by giving our government MORE POWER. Jesus people, to use a CF analogy, it'd be like saying to the IMMs, well, you guys can hook up all your characters with God gear and extra quest skills, because they know the game better and can think about what we need if they play such characters...

Politics is not a good discussing point for a CF forum. Too many variables and strong feelings.

  

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IsildurWed 06-Sep-06 04:08 PM
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#201, "devil's advocate question for the peanut gallery. txt"
In response to Reply #16


          

Let me suggest the following extremely generous summary of what Odrirg posted:

"Political correctness prevents government entities from utilizing profiling techniques that would serve to reduce the likelihood of future terrorist actions against the United States."

Now, for all those who dismissed Odrirg's post (myself included):

1. Are you against profiling?

2. If so, is it because you don't think it would be effective, or because it's "wrong" regardless of how effective it may be?

  

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TacWed 06-Sep-06 04:56 PM
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#202, "RE: devil's advocate question for the peanut gallery. t..."
In response to Reply #25


          

>Let me suggest the following extremely generous
>summary of what Odrirg posted:
>
>"Political correctness prevents government entities from
>utilizing profiling techniques that would serve to reduce the
>likelihood of future terrorist actions against the United
>States."

I'd say this is a summary of a part of the essay.

>Now, for all those who dismissed Odrirg's post (myself
>included):
>
>1. Are you against profiling?

No. I, infact think that profiling should be allowed. There would need to be a lot of oversight, however, because the line between profiling and racial discrimination is pretty slim. I also think that it is ridiculous for an 80 year old lady to be selected for random searches. If you are a young arabic man however, you should expect, and accept that you may face tougher scrutiny than the old lady. I could go on about my reasons here, but I don't have the time right now.

>2. If so, is it because you don't think it would be effective,
>or because it's "wrong" regardless of how effective it may
>be?

It *might* be effective... I don't think we should turn a blind eye to the problem. Some security measures are neccessary. The problem is that no security can be 100% effective (bet mouse trap etc.) so some risk has to be acceptable. I wish I had the time and desire to look up statistics, but I'd bet being injured (or worse) by a terrorist action (for an American) is right up there with getting struck by lightning, or eaten by a shark. Just above getting kill by a sting ray barb to the heart. It's an overblow issue. Step up security slightly to plug some of the obvious holes, then ignore it. Terrorism only works when it insights fear. So far 9/11 has been extraordinarily effective because people who (like me) have zero chance of ever even seeing a terrorist are afraid of terrorism (unlike me).

  

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WilhathWed 06-Sep-06 05:36 PM
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#204, "I wrote out this whole long thing that the forum ate..."
In response to Reply #26


          

...so I'll just piggyback on Tac's post.

I'm not against racial profiling because it's proven effective. If you want references I'll provide them, but I'm not going to do so unsolicited.

However, it's a very slippery slope and I can provide you with anecdotal evidence of harrassment that I think should have been prosecuted as a hate crime. The problem with racial profiling is that there ISN'T any oversight and there's really nothing to prevent a police officer from venturing into unmitigated harrassment. Further, because racial minorities typically have a very negativistic view of the criminal justice system and government in general there's really no reason to fear litigiousness or any form of repercussions because the victims are unlikely to expect satisfaction if they were to pursue it. Call it a form of learned helplessness.

I was going to school within 3 miles of the Pentagon on the day it was hit. I had to evacuate Arlington on the very last train leaving the city on the Orange line. I know what fear caused by terrorism looks like firsthand. That said, I'm smart enough to realize that the true terrorists out there are the run-of-the-mill criminals wandering our streets on a daily basis. I'm far more afraid of being mugged (or shot by a crazed DC-area sniper) than I am of further terrorist strikes. The federal government has trumped up the threat to wag the dog and the unmentioned side effect is that increased monies for anti-terrorism initiatives steals monies from ordinary law enforcement and other public safety initiatives. We're all less safe as a result.

Sad but true.

  

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ValguarneraWed 06-Sep-06 05:25 PM
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#203, "RE: devil's advocate"
In response to Reply #25


          

Not in any order:

1) Any announced policy would be ineffective. Muslims, radical or otherwise, come in all colors. Changing one's name to make it appear less Muslim requires minimal effort, as does dressing generically, shaving, etc. Passports and other identification do not reveal your religious beliefs, if any. As a matter of fact, any announced policy might end up counter-productive, as groups choose members who are less likely to be stopped.

2) An unannounced program would be challenged in a court of law once someone watched who screeners were pulling. A secret program would also require the complicit silence of thousands of screeners and police, some fraction of which would be morally offended by it. In either case, it will leak, hit CNN, and you're back at #1.

3) Any such program is an ugly precedent. Statistically, African-Americans commit violent crimes at a higher rate than the baseline. This is not causative-- African-Americans are more likely than the baseline to be poor for historical/prejudicial reasons, and poverty is the dominant causative factor in violent crime, for obvious reasons. Yet it's the argument you hear for racial profiling, and (because prejudices run in all occupations, police included) why even wealthy African-Americans have frustrating encounters with police at an unacceptable rate.

4) A significant fraction (majority?) of terrorist acts perpetrated on American soil have been committed by white, American-born, middle-class men. Racial profiling isn't nearly as precise as behavioral profiling is. Put your resources in the latter.

5) Diplomacy matters. Muslim groups will (rightfully) feel slighted by government policies discriminating against innocent members. Muslims who are singled out for time-consuming and embarrassing searches will likely develop negative opinions of America. These negative opinions provide the support, funding, and manpower that terrorist organizations need to function.

By all means, profile by personal histories. Someone has three felonies? Someone is sweating in a cold airport? Someone just wired $50K to a group on the State Department's watch list? Someone went to flight school and didn't want to learn how to land? Check them twice. But leave the innocent people alone. (And give me back the soda I bought inside the sterile zone for $2.50. I'm not finished yet.)

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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Pro (inactive user)Wed 06-Sep-06 09:48 PM
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#207, "RE: devil's advocate"
In response to Reply #27


          

4) A significant fraction (majority?) of terrorist acts perpetrated on American soil have been committed by white, American-born, middle-class men. Racial profiling isn't nearly as precise as behavioral profiling is. Put your resources in the latter.


This is dangerous thinking. it keeps us from focusing on our real enemy. Fundamentalist Islamic Radicals.

Unless of course you are taking about the Anti-Republican party, then I agree.

LOVE the white guilt that is just lavished on us by the left. LOVE IT!

Get over it.

And I gotta get off this RL ####. It's the devil for this game.

  

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TheLastMohicanWed 06-Sep-06 10:36 PM
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#208, "No offense Valg, but Pro will never learn."
In response to Reply #31


          

Why I said politics was a bad topic for this board.

  

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TacWed 06-Sep-06 10:43 PM
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#209, "Sure he will...."
In response to Reply #32


          

And according to him, the best way is by physical force. So apparently we just need to find him, and beat him until he agrees with us. No fault in that logic. Nope. Will *definitely* get the desired result. No chance whatsoever of it having the oposite effect.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Thu 07-Sep-06 01:41 AM
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posts
#213, "It is a bad topic for this board."
In response to Reply #32
Edited on Thu 07-Sep-06 01:54 AM

          

And you all are killing America with you trusting ignorance of how ####ing serious people are about killing us outside our borders and a lot of you see nothing wrong with letting them waltz on across. It's amazing the #### I'm seeing. It's like a movie where the hero is warning everyone but they are just stupidly noding their heads and acting condescending.

I've fought these ####ing bastards god damn it!

They have to ####ing die.

Man this is a bad subject for me because it takes me to some ####ed up places I thought I left in the desert.

I need out of this topic bad.


You people just don't know.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 10:25 AM
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#216, "RE: It is a bad topic for this board."
In response to Reply #36


          

>And you all are killing America with you trusting ignorance
>of how ####ing serious people are about killing us outside our
>borders and a lot of you see nothing wrong with letting them
>waltz on across.

Here's the problem with your understanding of other peoples' views:

Hardly anybody wants "Fundamentalist Islamic Radicals" who want to "kill America" crossing the border into the United States.

Yet you contend, "alot of you see nothing wrong with letting them waltz on across."

That's just not true. What is true is that many people see something wrong with preventing Muslims who don't want to "kill America" from crossing the border. Or, making it unreasonably difficult for them.

  

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ValkenarThu 07-Sep-06 04:53 PM
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#241, "RE: It is a bad topic for this board."
In response to Reply #36


          

>I've fought these ####ing bastards god damn it!
>
>They have to ####ing die.
>
>Man this is a bad subject for me because it takes me to some
>####ed up places I thought I left in the desert.
>
>I need out of this topic bad.
>
>
>You people just don't know.

You've experienced a trauma and now you can't see beyond it. This is no better than the white man mugged by a black guy who turns around and wants to lynch black people. Your experiences were far worse than mugging, of course, but it's the same basic idea.

Just because you went through something horrible doesn't mean you see the truth of the world better than anyone else. You just see a truth that's twisted by a personal hardship. PTSD is not known for bringing clarity of thought.

Muslims are not all bad people. I don't mean this sarcastically at all, but I think you should seek counseling if you aren't already. My understanding is that the military does pretty well at providing psychological services for veterans these days.

  

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Pro (inactive user)Fri 08-Sep-06 07:20 PM
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posts
#293, "LAUGH!"
In response to Reply #61


          

Muslims are not all bad people. I don't mean this sarcastically at all, but I think you should seek counseling if you aren't already. My understanding is that the military does pretty well at providing psychological services for veterans these days.


I don't care if they are bad people. They need to belly up and stop their Bad people from being what they are. If not, I don't feel bad when they get caught in the cross fire.

The Military does a horrible job at trauma counciling.

A good example is because of #### like those #### heads that raped and burned that girl.

One of them brought it up and it wasn't confidential. You think we talk to those guys?

A Shrink says, 'You okay Sergeant?'

You say, 'Yes Sir.'

A Shrink Says,I see you were in close proximity to the Enemy.'

You say, 'Yep.'

A shrink says 'That can be stressful, want to talk about it?'

You say, '....'

A Shrink stamps your file before ushering you out the tent.

  

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ValguarneraThu 07-Sep-06 05:50 PM
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#246, "Seek counseling."
In response to Reply #36


          

And you all are killing America with you trusting ignorance of how ####ing serious people are about killing us outside our borders and a lot of you see nothing wrong with letting them waltz on across. It's amazing the #### I'm seeing. It's like a movie where the hero is warning everyone but they are just stupidly noding their heads and acting condescending.

I've fought these ####ing bastards god damn it!

They have to ####ing die.

Man this is a bad subject for me because it takes me to some ####ed up places I thought I left in the desert.


Bravery isn't the absence of fear. Bravery is the ability to do the right thing in the face of fear. Ask yourself if you can see any difference between your posts and what OBL says on his tapes, if you reverse who is being spoken about.

You've obviously seen some tough things, and I think they've gotten the better of you for now, because you're posting a lot of scary stuff that would make a KKK Grand Wizard blush. At the very least, I think you'd profit from seeing someone (or seeing someone more often) to talk about it, which I think veterans can do for free.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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WilhathThu 07-Sep-06 06:04 PM
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#248, "*edit*"
In response to Reply #66
Edited on Thu 07-Sep-06 06:05 PM

          

*snip*

Yeah, at least seek consultation at the nearest VA.

  

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IsildurThu 07-Sep-06 10:20 AM
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#215, "RE: devil's advocate"
In response to Reply #27


          

So your response is that profiling "doesn't work", so there's no point in even discussing the ethical implications. Fair enough. I'm not sure I agree with that entirely, but it's a valid response.

Seems like you're setting up somewhat of a straw man w/ regard to profiling effectiveness, though. For instance the point that "if they know about it then it won't work". Sure, a terrorist group can disguise its operatives so they don't fit the profile or just choose people who genuinely don't fit. But that at least makes their job harder. Recruiting non-profile-fitting operatives gives them a much smaller pool to work with. Disguising profile-fitting operatives is non-trivial.

The govt. could also cast a wide net. Identify countries with sizeable Muslim populations, and increase the risk factor for travelers coming from those countries. Or flag certain first names, many of which are used by Muslims of all nationalities.

W/ regard to domestic terrorists and behavioral profiling, who said that couldn't be used in addition to other methods? You seem to be arguing that "profiling Muslims doesn't catch white, non-Muslim domestic terrorists, therefore we shouldn't do it because it's ineffective".

  

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MuulocFri 08-Sep-06 01:30 AM
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#262, "RE: This essey pretty much sums up my current world vie..."
In response to Reply #16


          

So much of that essay is completely ignorant, but this part is truly stupid:

>2. Why were we attacked?
>
>Envy of our position, our success, and our freedoms. The
>attacks happened during the administrations of Presidents
>Carter, Reagan, Bush 1, Clinton and Bush 2. We cannot fault
>either the Republicans or Democrats as there were no
>provocations by any of the presidents or their immediate
>predecessors, Presidents Ford or Carter.
>

Suicide bombers do not act out of envy.

Look for the real answers here, and you might start to unravel this blindness.

  

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AmarantheThu 31-Aug-06 03:38 PM
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#161, "Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #0
Edited on Thu 31-Aug-06 03:39 PM

          

I'll share that I'm much more conservative than most people assume I am, but more liberal than most people think when they hear the word "conservative".

My dream presidental race would be Giuliani vs. Leiberman, and I'm not sure which I'd pick. Now that would be a breath of fresh air.

  

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Grurk MuoukThu 31-Aug-06 03:53 PM
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#164, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #3


          

Uh, other than their different heritage, they are exactly the same.

Give me Clinton vs. Obama NOW that would be a race for the ages!


G.

  

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nepentheThu 31-Aug-06 05:50 PM
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#167, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #3


          

>My dream presidental race would be Giuliani vs. Leiberman, and
>I'm not sure which I'd pick. Now that would be a breath
>of fresh air.

That doesn't seem like it'd be much of a race. . . considering I'd say Giuliani still has a lot of political capital left over from 9/11, and Leiberman can't even win a senatorial primary.

  

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AmarantheThu 31-Aug-06 06:52 PM
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#169, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #5


          

A primary is a completely different ball game than a general. He'd probably have to run as an independent though. Before you scoff at the idea, remember Ross Perot? He garnered quite an impressive amount of support for a psychotic rich guy out of nowhere.

In the end, Giuliani would win, but Lieberman I think would do well enough to chip away at the ridiculous two-party system.

But then, if we lived in a world where Lieberman and Giuiliani could both get nominations, I probably wouldn't be critical of the two-party system as it stands anyways.

Well, it is just my fantasy election, in any case. I do not understand politics well enough to comprehend why it is consistently the case that, out of all the potential people in the country, the parties cannot put forward half-decent candidates.

  

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EskelianThu 31-Aug-06 08:08 PM
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#171, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #6


          


Well, it is just my fantasy election, in any case. I do not understand politics well enough to comprehend why it is consistently the case that, out of all the potential people in the country, the parties cannot put forward half-decent candidates.

Because it isn't a system that favors values we'd consider requisites for being 'half decent'. Such as, for instance, honesty.

  

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IsildurFri 01-Sep-06 10:56 AM
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#173, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #5


          

Giuliani will never be president. If he wins the nomination, single-issue pro-life voters will either stay home or vote Constitution Party or Libertarian. So, Democrats win. Personally, though, I don't even see him getting the nomination.

  

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EskelianFri 01-Sep-06 05:11 PM
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#174, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #9


          

A prime example of how utterly retarded people are.

  

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IsildurFri 01-Sep-06 11:54 PM
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#176, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #10


          

Unless you equate abortion with murder, in which case it's a prime example of people voting according to their ethics. Which, really, is what almost every voter does.

  

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EskelianThu 07-Sep-06 09:50 PM
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#253, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #11


          

Ok. Lets do the abortion topic :

Abortion has been legal for ~33 years now. The details have changed, but its legality hasn't gone away. It will not go away. So, what you're arguing, is that the 'moral' thing to do is marginalize it as much as possible. Try to keep the numbers down by making it difficult, limited, limiting the methods, etc. I can respect that.

However, if you're a moral person, you should also know that saving 100 lives is more important than saving 1. Ironically, the right (largest concentration of Christians who are anti-abortion) are also the largest supporters of, in general, blowing up other countries. I have to question what moral highground they are standing on when its cool to wax, some people say, up to 100,000 Iraqis. There are varying estimates, but undoubtedly tens of thousands.

Now, I'm not against the war in Iraq, since I think there is a lot of 'greater good' tone to the whole thing. But regardless of that, I'm also not going to take the moral highground elsewhere.

The long story short, is that there are a lot more important and volatile issues in the world at the moment. The situation with Israel, Iran and the Middle East in general, as well as North Korea, many parts of Asia, and Africa...need to be resolved. You have a country where there's a memorial of a tree where babies were slain by being beaten against the trunk of the tree...and people here wage their entire vote on a topic that, for the most part, hasn't changed in thirty ####ing years.

Anyway, the problem isn't voting according to ethics. Its voting according to short-sighted retardation.

  

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nepentheThu 07-Sep-06 11:04 PM
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#260, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #73


          

>Ironically,
>the right (largest concentration of Christians who are
>anti-abortion) are also the largest supporters of, in general,
>blowing up other countries.

Don't forget also generally the largest supporters of capital punishment, as well as not subsidizing the babies that people would then be forced to keep sans the abortion option.

I respect people who are all about life as long as it's consistent. It just generally isn't.

  

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EskelianFri 08-Sep-06 09:04 AM
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#268, "Bingo. n/t"
In response to Reply #79


          

n/t

  

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TacFri 08-Sep-06 09:15 AM
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#269, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #79


          

There is a very real difference between supporting the right of an unborn child to live, and supporting the right to kill a violent criminal. I'll give you a hint, one of them hasn't made any choices, and the other has made very very bad choices.

So, because I think every child has the right to live, I should foot the bill for those people who can't afford to have children and do anyway?

I'm sorry, but I should not have to pay for stupid people's stupidity. They also should have the right to kill someone just because it makes their lives easier. It's really that simple.

By the way I do not support capital punishment per se, but I do understand the viewpoint.

In my ideal situation, people who cannot live in society (violent criminals) are removed from it and forced to repay their debt: I.e. they generate some benefit for society, and don't just put a drain upon it. Noone ever gets the right to commit murder, no matter how convienient it might make their lives (I'm exluding war here). People who cannot afford to have children, or cannot take care of them (lack of ability to manage their own lives is a strong indicator) do not have children.

The last part is by a wide margin the toughest, but in a purely pragmatic viewpoint (amoral) the best method might be removal of subsidies, a higher infant mortality rate, and very strict punishments (even more so than now) for neglect etc.

  

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nepentheFri 08-Sep-06 10:49 AM
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#283, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #88


          

The problem is that these things aren't purely separate issues. You can't defend the right of caterpillars to live but condemn an overpopulation of butterflies.

I'm just going to toss the whole issue of equating a fetus to a child (something I don't agree with) for the moment and move on.

Let's say we've got the conception of an unwanted child, one the parents can't really afford to support. If the parents have to keep it, someone has to provide food, shelter, medical care, etc. If not the parents, then someone. If you don't, the child is going to die a slow, torturous death of neglect and you might as well have just done it the fast way in the first place.

What happens to unwanted children who grow up in poverty? Unsurprisingly, a disproportionate amount of them become violent criminals, which most likely cost society a whole lot more in terms of absolute dollars than providing that child a better life in the first place.

Obviously, the real solution is just for people to not have babies they don't want or can't well care for. Maybe there's a solution to be found there, but I'm not seeing it. People aren't going to stop ####ing.

  

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TacFri 08-Sep-06 11:42 AM
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#284, "They *are* seperate issues"
In response to Reply #99


          

Defending the right of a child to live is wholly seperate from defending the right of a violent criminal to live. By choosing not to live by society's rules, a violent criminal has chose he is not a part of that society. An unborn child has not made any such choice.

It isn't at all like caterpillars and butterflies. If you are saying every aborted child would grow up to be a violent criminal so they and we are better off if they are aborted... Well that is just plain stupid. A newborn child has nearly unlimited possibilities. Even some of the most neglected and uncared for children have grown up to be great people. Your lot in life is not wholly dependant on who your parents are and what their situation is like.

To paraphase:

Violent criminal: Makes choice to break laws that carry the punishment of death -> Chooses to die.

Unborn child: No choices made, Infinite possibilities for their life and contributions -> No one gets to choose to murder them.

Honestly, I could easily construe your statement, that since old people nearly always die slow torturous deaths, people should be euthanized at the age of 60. If a child that *may* die such a death is better off dead, then an old person who *will* die such a death is certainly better off dead.

And since I'm not willing to toss the whole issue of a fetus to a child. Please explain to me how you can deteremine when a child is a child. Does exiting the womb change the fundamental nature of the fetus such that it then magically becomes a child? If I take a ball out of a paper bag was it something else when it was in the bag? If cognitive thought is the requirement, well that doesn't happen till well after birth, and there is almost no way to prove cognition without speach, so we'll just wait till a child talks, but any time before that we can kill it. Sounds fine to me, before that they're just animals. If you say it's "part of the woman's body" so she should be able to do with it what she wants, well that isn't true either. A fertalized egg is no more part of a woman's body than sperm is. It might be *in* her body, but it sure as hell doesn't have to be. Yes, a child cannot grow outside a womb (currently) but that womb can be nearly anyones, and it is really no different than the fact that humans are born completely without the ability to survive on their own, so that pushes the killing point sometime after birth again.

Feel free to ignore this last tirade, but I'd really like to know how you can rationally equate killing unborn children and killing violent criminals as non seperate issues. It seriously boggles my mind.

  

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nepentheFri 08-Sep-06 07:28 PM
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#295, "RE: They *are* seperate issues"
In response to Reply #100


          


>It isn't at all like caterpillars and butterflies. If you are
>saying every aborted child would grow up to be a violent
>criminal so they and we are better off if they are aborted...
>Well that is just plain stupid.

It's not a 1:1 correlation, obviously. If you think the two are completely unrelated, you're kidding yourself.

>A newborn child has nearly
>unlimited possibilities. Even some of the most neglected and
>uncared for children have grown up to be great people. Your
>lot in life is not wholly dependant on who your parents are
>and what their situation is like.

Not wholly, no. It's also an ass long way from wholly non-dependent.

If you force people who don't want or can't afford kids to have kids, you're going to get more violent criminals, both in absolute numbers (because the population increases) and as a percentage of the population. 100% of those kids aren't going to be criminals, but it's going to be a much higher rate than in the general population. Wishing that these issues would be completely separate doesn't cause reality to bend to your whim.

>Honestly, I could easily construe your statement, that since
>old people nearly always die slow torturous deaths, people
>should be euthanized at the age of 60. If a child that *may*
>die such a death is better off dead, then an old person who
>*will* die such a death is certainly better off dead.

They're capable of making a choice about it. In most cases, no one is legally compelled to care for old people either.

>And since I'm not willing to toss the whole issue of a fetus
>to a child. Please explain to me how you can deteremine when
>a child is a child. Does exiting the womb change the
>fundamental nature of the fetus such that it then magically
>becomes a child? If I take a ball out of a paper bag was it
>something else when it was in the bag?

By that half-assed logic, we'll just take 8 week old fetuses out and let them fend for themselves. They're obviously the same thing as normal adults.

>If cognitive thought
>is the requirement, well that doesn't happen till well after
>birth, and there is almost no way to prove cognition without
>speach, so we'll just wait till a child talks, but any time
>before that we can kill it.

I realize you're trying to take an extreme opinion for shock value, but I actually don't have a problem with that, so long as the parents consent and reasonable attempts are made to make it quick.

>Sounds fine to me, before that
>they're just animals. If you say it's "part of the woman's
>body" so she should be able to do with it what she wants, well
>that isn't true either. A fertalized egg is no more part of a
>woman's body than sperm is. It might be *in* her body, but it
>sure as hell doesn't have to be. Yes, a child cannot grow
>outside a womb (currently) but that womb can be nearly
>anyones, and it is really no different than the fact that
>humans are born completely without the ability to survive on
>their own, so that pushes the killing point sometime after
>birth again.

If you want to set up a program where people can volunteer to host would-be aborted fetuses I don't have a problem with that.

>Feel free to ignore this last tirade, but I'd really like to
>know how you can rationally equate killing unborn children and
>killing violent criminals as non seperate issues. It
>seriously boggles my mind.

There's some degree of causality there. That doesn't mean the issues are equivalent, but they're sure as hell related. A good analogy is being against fatal car crashes but being in favor of legalizing drinking and driving. It's not like someone dies everytime someone drives drunk, but are the two issues related? #### yes.

  

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MinyarTue 12-Sep-06 01:37 PM
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#317, "I gotta ask"
In response to Reply #106


          

>If cognitive thought
>is the requirement, well that doesn't happen till well after
>birth, and there is almost no way to prove cognition without
>speach, so we'll just wait till a child talks, but any time
>before that we can kill it.

>I realize you're trying to take an extreme opinion for shock value, >but I actually don't have a problem with that, so long as the >parents consent and reasonable attempts are made to make it quick.

How is this any different than killing off a race of people because you don't care for them, or they are "unwanted." Seriously, I know its skewing the topic, but how is not minding this different than the NAZI view of sub-human life. Where do you draw the line? If you allow this, then people will start aborting or killing off children because they have a disability, or because they weren't a blonde haired blue eyed boy.

I'll give you that I agree with Tac on every point he is making and that the two issues are separate. I will say that I do support helping people take care of their children and I'm "conservative." I think we should make it easier (monetarily) for people to adopt. Oh well, just my half a cent.

  

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TacTue 12-Sep-06 02:43 PM
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#318, "I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe's)"
In response to Reply #108


          

But what I have to say is distasteful, so I haven't. I think I have to though, as I think it is the best way to drive my point home. Also, it is my opinion that if you aren't ok with the most extreme case, then you really aren't ok with it at all.

I'm going to apologize in advance for this. It is inexusable, but considering that I find abortion at least as offensive as what follows... well...

Hypothecital situation: You and you lovely fiance find yourselves with child. You decide to have the child because you love each other and are getting married, and were going to have children anyway. You give birth to a wonderful and healthy baby boy. A year after your child is born, I show up, and guillotine (sp?) your baby and your dog. What crimes should I be charged with? I'm pretty sure that in that situation, you'd be pushing for murder and the death penalty, but if you truely beleive what you've said earlier, I would argue that it would be something like animal abuse, and destruction of property. If *you* get to murder your child with impunity, why can't anyone else? You don't own children. You may own your dog, but you don't get to beat it and starve it to death. You certainly don't get to do those things (legally) to children... so long as they've exited the womb. Before that, you get to kill them indiscriminately? I don't think so.

One last disturbing point. If I walk up to a pregnant woman and punch her in the stomach, resulting in a miscarraige, I don't get charged with battery... Manslaughter is probably the minimum, and that's *assuming* I didn't do it for that purpose. I wish I had PJ's ability to find case law, because I'm betting this has happened somewhere, but I'll leave that up to someone else. The point is that I *should* be charged with something beyond battery, and anyone who thinks differently isn't in favor of abortion, just like in the previous situation...

For what I understand, the number of people looking to adopt is rather insanely high compared to those who are willing to put their child up for adoption.... #### you don't even have to raise the unwanted child, but you ####ed up, you made the choice, now live with 9 months of consequences. It's the least you can do.

Also, people who are so poor that their children are growing up to be violent criminals aren't getting abortions. They can't afford the abortion. Another child means more welfare. Plus they obviously don't care. People who are getting abortions are middle class people who just aren't willing to accept the consequences of their actions.

I'm done....

  

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nepentheTue 12-Sep-06 03:48 PM
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#320, "RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..."
In response to Reply #109


          


>What crimes
>should I be charged with?

Hypothetically, no one would ever find your body, so this is immaterial. Moving on!

>You don't own children.

This isn't entirely true in a legal sense. For example, you're certainly responsible for their actions after a fashion until they're legally adults.

>You may own your dog, but you don't get to beat it and starve
>it to death.

No; however, you may legally have it put down for no greater reason than deciding you don't want it. This is in line with my analogy.

> You certainly don't get to do those things
> legally) to children... so long as they've exited the womb.
>Before that, you get to kill them indiscriminately? I don't
>think so.

If you're assuming they're children from the moment of conception, then I would generally agree with you. I don't assume that, however.

Your statement also assumes that abortions are totally free and legal up to the minute of birth, which you obviously know isn't true.

>One last disturbing point. If I walk up to a pregnant woman
>and punch her in the stomach, resulting in a miscarraige, I
>don't get charged with battery... Manslaughter is probably
>the minimum, and that's *assuming* I didn't do it for that
>purpose. I wish I had PJ's ability to find case law, because
>I'm betting this has happened somewhere, but I'll leave that
>up to someone else. The point is that I *should* be charged
>with something beyond battery, and anyone who thinks
>differently isn't in favor of abortion, just like in the
>previous situation...

You're implying that this is a double standard, but you have to make some inconsistent assumptions for that to be the case.

An obviously pregnant woman is most likely far enough along that an abortion wouldn't be legal unless not having it would kill the mother.

>For what I understand, the number of people looking to adopt
>is rather insanely high compared to those who are willing to
>put their child up for adoption.... #### you don't even have
>to raise the unwanted child, but you ####ed up, you made the
>choice, now live with 9 months of consequences. It's the
>least you can do.

This is easy to say when you're a man. That doesn't inherently make it wrong, but it's easy to have an opinion about how to handle a situation you'll definitely never be in.

In my ideal world, very few abortions would occur, and all for good reasons. However, that doesn't mean I'm in favor of making laws to require that. I'm especially not in favor of making laws, in essence, based on your gut-feeling opinion of when a person's life begins.

>Also, people who are so poor that their children are growing
>up to be violent criminals aren't getting abortions. They
>can't afford the abortion. Another child means more welfare.
>Plus they obviously don't care. People who are getting
>abortions are middle class people who just aren't willing to
>accept the consequences of their actions.

Right. All poor people are greedy parasites who view children as sources of income. I was silly to not see the truth of that.

  

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TacTue 12-Sep-06 04:30 PM
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#321, "RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..."
In response to Reply #111


          

>
>>What crimes
>>should I be charged with?
>
>Hypothetically, no one would ever find your body, so this is
>immaterial. Moving on!

Avoidance.

>>You don't own children.
>
>This isn't entirely true in a legal sense. For example,
>you're certainly responsible for their actions after a fashion
>until they're legally adults.

Owning something, and being held responsible for the actions of said thing aren't equal. I own my car, but if someone steals it and runs someone over, that isn't my fault. Conversely, I definitely don't own the wild racoon in my yard, but you can bet there are places where I'm going to be help legally responsible for the medical bills of the asshold that got bit and got rabies.

>>You may own your dog, but you don't get to beat it and
>starve
>>it to death.
>
>No; however, you may legally have it put down for no greater
>reason than deciding you don't want it. This is in line with
>my analogy.

A dog isn't sentient. This is also wrong however. People would rather kill a living thing than accept responsibility for it.

>> You certainly don't get to do those things
>> legally) to children... so long as they've exited the womb.
>
>>Before that, you get to kill them indiscriminately? I don't
>>think so.
>
>If you're assuming they're children from the moment of
>conception, then I would generally agree with you. I don't
>assume that, however.

I am. I'll explain later.

>Your statement also assumes that abortions are totally free
>and legal up to the minute of birth, which you obviously know
>isn't true.

I am aware.

>>One last disturbing point. If I walk up to a pregnant woman
>>and punch her in the stomach, resulting in a miscarraige, I
>>don't get charged with battery... Manslaughter is probably
>>the minimum, and that's *assuming* I didn't do it for that
>>purpose. I wish I had PJ's ability to find case law,
>because
>>I'm betting this has happened somewhere, but I'll leave that
>>up to someone else. The point is that I *should* be charged
>>with something beyond battery, and anyone who thinks
>>differently isn't in favor of abortion, just like in the
>>previous situation...
>
>You're implying that this is a double standard, but you have
>to make some inconsistent assumptions for that to be the
>case.
>
>An obviously pregnant woman is most likely far enough along
>that an abortion wouldn't be legal unless not having it would
>kill the mother.

She doesn't have to be obviously pregnant. I might just be an unwilling father. Inconsistent assumptions aren't neccessary.

>>For what I understand, the number of people looking to adopt
>>is rather insanely high compared to those who are willing to
>>put their child up for adoption.... #### you don't even
>have
>>to raise the unwanted child, but you ####ed up, you made the
>>choice, now live with 9 months of consequences. It's the
>>least you can do.
>
>This is easy to say when you're a man. That doesn't
>inherently make it wrong, but it's easy to have an opinion
>about how to handle a situation you'll definitely never be
>in.

No. Just no.

As a man I have no say in whether the child is born or not.
As a man I have no say in whether the child is put up for adoption or not.
As a man I have a legal responsibility to care (pay money to the mother) for said child even given the above.
As a man I don't even have to be informed that a child was conceived.

Don't give the "situation". I'll trade the decision to keep or give away the child for zero say and fininacial responsibility anyday. I'm sure being pregnant sucks (I have three older sisters, so I've *heard*) but being uncomfortable isn't a reason to kill. Morning sickness is akin to PMS... ie no real change. You only become obviously pregnant for the last two months or so. So really, you aren't even giving up nine months... TWO MONTHS.

This argument is akin to saying to me, "It would be more convenient for me if you were dead because you are ahead of me in line at the DMV. If you were dead, I wouldn't have to wait as long."

>In my ideal world, very few abortions would occur, and all for
>good reasons. However, that doesn't mean I'm in favor
>of making laws to require that. I'm especially not in favor
>of making laws, in essence, based on your gut-feeling opinion
>of when a person's life begins.

Fact: Life begins.
Fact: Sentient cannot be proved with linguistic communication.

You get two choices, they aren't children till they talk/write/sign/whatever, or they are children the instant the cells start dividing. Anything inbetween is arbitrary and wrong.

>>Also, people who are so poor that their children are growing
>>up to be violent criminals aren't getting abortions. They
>>can't afford the abortion. Another child means more welfare.
>
>>Plus they obviously don't care. People who are getting
>>abortions are middle class people who just aren't willing to
>>accept the consequences of their actions.
>
>Right. All poor people are greedy parasites who view children
>as sources of income. I was silly to not see the truth of
>that.

I didn't see you providing sources for the statements of poorer people being the ones getting the majority of abortions. Or the statements showing that these people are getting the abortions because they couldn't/wouldn't take care of them. I can make assumptions about what is true also. Show me the study where the same demographic (*) that produces the highest number of violent criminals also has the most abortions. I think you'll find that what I'm saying is at least as viable as what you are saying.

People who are literally starving to death have children knowing that they are more likely than not destined to die. They still have them. If they were given the option of aborting, I think you'd be suprised how few would choose to do so.

(*) People making under 100,000 dollars a year get the majority of adoptions and produce the majority of violent criminals doesn't count. It's too big.


  

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nepentheTue 12-Sep-06 05:41 PM
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#322, "RE: I've been meaning to respond to this.... (Nepenthe'..."
In response to Reply #112


          


>Avoidance.

If saying that I'd disagree with your choice enough to kill you and hide your remains in a swamp is avoiding the issue, color me avoidful.

>Owning something, and being held responsible for the actions
>of said thing aren't equal.

It's not black and white.

>I own my car, but if someone
>steals it and runs someone over, that isn't my fault.

I am not a lawyer, but I'd be willing to bet that in some cases, legally it is.

>A dog isn't sentient.

Neither is a one-month-old fetus. What's your point?

>People
>would rather kill a living thing than accept responsibility
>for it.

Yep. But, hell, one way or another the convicted murder can almost certainly be rehabilitated too.

>She doesn't have to be obviously pregnant.

For a greater-than-battery charge to stick, I'm guessing she would be.

>Don't give the "situation". I'll trade the decision to keep
>or give away the child for zero say and fininacial
>responsibility anyday.

The biological lottery didn't give you that choice, though.

>I'm sure being pregnant sucks (I have
>three older sisters, so I've *heard*) but being uncomfortable
>isn't a reason to kill. Morning sickness is akin to PMS... ie
>no real change. You only become obviously pregnant for the
>last two months or so. So really, you aren't even giving up
>nine months... TWO MONTHS.

This is stupid on many levels. I'm sorry, but I have better things to do with my night than list them.

>This argument is akin to saying to me, "It would be more
>convenient for me if you were dead because you are ahead of me
>in line at the DMV. If you were dead, I wouldn't have to wait
>as long."

No, it's not. It's not even close. The guy ahead of you in the DMV line is not dependent upon you. He's not, in essence, a parasite in your body. There's no possibility that the guy in the DMV line came to be in front of you due to rape or incest. Having a guy ahead of you in the DMV line will have no direct social repercussions. Having a guy ahead of you in the DMV will not possibly cause complications which will maim or kill you. Etc.

>You get two choices, they aren't children till they
>talk/write/sign/whatever, or they are children the instant the
>cells start dividing. Anything inbetween is arbitrary and
>wrong.

You'd have to disregard an awful lot of science to make that claim. I understand that you haven't really taken the time to educate yourself about the science of human development, but it makes arguing with you fairly pointless.

>I didn't see you providing sources for the statements of
>poorer people being the ones getting the majority of
>abortions.

I don't need to.

As extreme of a position as you're taking, for you to be right, every abortion ever has to be completely wrong.

The position of "sometimes, this might be okay" has a much, much lower standard of proof.

I'm not replying further to this thread; it's sunk further into unreason than even the Pro threads on this board.

  

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MinyarTue 12-Sep-06 05:58 PM
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#323, "Come on now Nep"
In response to Reply #113


          

We both know that there are scientists who are VERY well educated on both sides of this coin. You may be narrow enough to dismiss their views out of hand because they don't agree with your "standards" of science or some such crap. Most major scientific issues have very smart people on both sides arguing against one another. Sorry, you shouldn't say out of hand that he isn't smart enough to make arguments because he "obviously" hasn't studied as much "human development" as you, thats just arrogant.

  

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ValguarneraTue 12-Sep-06 08:59 PM
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#328, "Except:"
In response to Reply #114


          

Tac is presenting a false dichotomy, mixed with a straw man, when he said the following: "You get two choices, they aren't children till they talk/write/sign/whatever, or they are children the instant the cells start dividing. Anything inbetween is arbitrary and wrong."

It's definitely not the majority view that a child needs to be able to communicate in order to be considered sentient. (Heck, some humans live their whole lives unable to use language. They are considered disabled, but otherwise eventually attain the rights of a human adult.) The two most common views on the "crossing the human/nonhuman Rubicon" point are:

1) Human at conception. This is primarily a religious viewpoint, but some scientists use it on the grounds that this is a gray area we should not tread in, and should therefore choose the most inclusive definition of life.
2) Human at the point of detectable neural activity, which is somewhere around 18 weeks of pregnancy, and is definitely way before birth. This is also a conservative definition-- we don't have a meaningful way to assess whether the electrical activity in the fetal brain is really 'thinking', per se. As for Tac's claim that this definition is "arbitrary and wrong", it is prominently championed by a number of heavyweights, it forms some of the basis of our existing abortion laws, and it's consistent with how we treat the severely disabled, or people in comas (barring pre-existing legal agreements, i.e. "living wills"). My impression from the bioethics literature is that this is the most commonly held opinion, but is not unanimous.

I've never heard anyone espouse the "Fact:" Tac is espousing about communication being the dividing line, and it's so extreme that I suspect it's intentionally exaggerated to make the alternative (which it itself not nearly the only alternative) seem like the only tenable ground. He's basically saying "Either you oppose all abortion (and some contraception), or you advocate killing 1-year-olds." Quite obviously there is a middle ground. (Nep's position is extreme in the other direction, which I suspect he recognizes.)

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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TacTue 12-Sep-06 09:19 PM
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#329, "Two words: Turing Test"
In response to Reply #115


          

Prove you are capable of thought without speaking or communicating with any language. "I think therefore I am" should in fact be "I say, therefore I am."

Why does human at conception have to be a religious viewpoint. I certainly don't consider my position to be religious. Personally, it is very simple for me. Is it going to become a fully formed human? Yes. Then it is human. Much like a building is still a building even when there is only the foundation and a single wall. Being fully formed doesn't define whether a thing is something or not.

I would argue that we don't have any way to tell that any neural activity is "thinking" in the sense of self awareness, hence the language thing. I'm pretty sure animals have neural activity, but I'm also pretty sure they don't think.

I'm aware that this is the basis of current abortion laws. I don't agree: There is a very rare disease(?) where people have all the brain fluid, but none of what we would normally consider brain. As much as 90% less than normal, and yet some of them are fully functional. We don't know how the brain works. Lastly, it is going to be human, therefore, you don't have the right to choose if it lives or dies.

Also, I don't remember saying anything about contraception, but unless I'm confused about exactly how the morning after pill works (I admit I don't know) then I don't know of any contraception that would violate my position since none of them kill a life after it has been created.

I will challenge you to prove, and I mean without any doubt, that you are in fact intelligent, without any language. No signing, no writing, no speaking. Prove you aren't just an ape. I dare you. If we knew enough about intelligence to being able to point to something and go "There, that's intelligent" we wouldn't need a Turing Test. It would be brutally obvious when a computer attainted this intelligence.

  

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ValguarneraTue 12-Sep-06 11:37 PM
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#330, "RE: Two words: Turing Test"
In response to Reply #116


          

Any number of behavioral tests would prove intelligence without any attempt at communication. A being could show forethought, self-awareness, etc. without ever attempting to communicate, or even being aware that it was being observed. Conversely, machines can use language without being conscious. Doctors diagnose brain death (which permits them to harvest organs, withdraw life support, etc.) without any reference to communication. You're demanding an arbitrary distinction which isn't present in any of the usual definitions of intelligence or consciousness, and I'm not sure where you're getting it from.

People who lose the ability to communicate are not put to death. Why would the acquisition of the ability to communicate be the only proof of humanity?

Lastly, it is going to be human, therefore, you don't have the right to choose if it lives or dies.

A fetus could become a human some day, assuming it receives nutrition, the mother remains healthy, etc. That doesn't necessarily mean a fertilized egg is human, has human rights, etc. 1 second after the large cell engulfs the small cell, membranes dissolve or become porous, and their nucleic acids mix. It's definitely not the certainty you make pregnancy out to be.

Reproductive technology further complicates that line of reasoning. If I can mix DNA in vitro and (possibly years) later implant it in a viable egg, and possibly years after that implant the egg in a womb, at what point did that organic mass "become human"?

Also, I don't remember saying anything about contraception, but unless I'm confused about exactly how the morning after pill works (I admit I don't know) then I don't know of any contraception that would violate my position since none of them kill a life after it has been created.

In some cases, depending on how recent ovulation was, levonorgestrel ("Plan B") prevents pregnancy by preventing an already-fertilized egg from implanting in the womb. It's presently legal, and the opposition to its approval voiced to the FDA (beyond safety concerns, which were resolved through the standard tests) came on religious grounds, not scientific ones.

valguarnera@carrionfields.com

  

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TacWed 13-Sep-06 08:47 AM
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#334, "RE: Two words: Turing Test"
In response to Reply #117


          

Perhaps there is some confusion here about my use of the word intelligence. I'm talking about human level intelligence. Self-awareness, nor forethought are proof of human level intelligence. Chimps can look into a mirror and recognize it is themselves they see, and not another chimp. That is a test for self-awareness, but not human-level intelligence. Forethought would be a bit more difficult. I would be interested in exactly what tests you think prove human-level intelligence without the use of language.

  

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ValkenarWed 13-Sep-06 09:05 AM
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#335, "RE: Two words: Turing Test"
In response to Reply #116


          

> Is it going to become a fully formed human? Yes. Then it is human.

Are you really bringing this back to the moment of conception? Because there's no guaruntee that a fertilized egg is going to become a fully-formed human. There's just a better chance of it than that an unfertilized egg is going to become a fully-formed human. For that matter, every time you masturbate you're destroying millions of living cells that have a chance to become a fully-formed human. Where is the cut off point? 50%? 10%?

Consider the absurd results of treating an embryo as if it were a human:

We imprison pregnant women for reckless endangerment if they drink, smoke, go skydiving, bungee jumping or play a sport? The police have to investigate every miscarriage as a potential murder.

Once human cloning is worked out (and it will be eventually) you should never have a tumor removed or a boil lanced, because every cell in your body has the potential to become a full-fledged human being.

In vitro fertilization becomes immoral because it requires the production of many potentially viable embryos that aren't used.

The bottom line is that trying to treat a clump of cells that someday
might become a real human as if it has full rights leads to ridiculous situations.

And if an embryo isn't a human then birth control is as immoral as abortion. They both act to interfere with something that might in the future become a human being, but isn't yet. Again, it's just a matter of chance. If you use birth control you're taking away whatever chance there was for one of your sperm and her egg to eventually become a human.

  

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nepentheTue 12-Sep-06 03:22 PM
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#319, "RE: I gotta ask"
In response to Reply #108


          


>Where do you draw the line?

That's sort of the point; there's no escaping drawing a line, and it's always going to be somewhat arbitrary.

Honestly, if it weren't, the abortion debate would end pretty much the same day.

>If you allow this, then people
>will start aborting or killing off children because they have
>a disability, or because they weren't a blonde haired blue
>eyed boy.

What do you mean, start? Essentially, this has happened (for example) in our lifetimes in China with male vs. female children. Note: I'm not saying that's right either, and there are certainly absolute consequences to be paid for it down the line.

That being said, at some point, reality being reality, there's always going to be triage and choices to be made. Earth can't support an infinite amount of human life, and there isn't an infinite amount of money to spend on health care. Those choices might take the form of limiting reproduction (like China) vs. killing or permitting death, and I don't think anyone doesn't really think the former isn't a better choice, inasfar as it's available.

>I'll give you that I agree with Tac on every point he is
>making and that the two issues are separate.

Do you think there's zero cause and effect there? Not any at all?

Ethically, I can agree that they are separate issues after a fashion, but the reality is that one affects the other to some degree. The picture's bigger than just those two things, of course. Maybe you can compensate for more unwanted children with also improving the quality of public schools or other programs so you still end up with less violent criminals. Nothing in the world occurs in a vacuum.

>I will say that
>I do support helping people take care of their children and
>I'm "conservative." I think we should make it easier
> monetarily) for people to adopt.

I'd agree with that as well. Get more kids into the homes of people who actually want them. Growing up in a string of foster homes or institutions isn't a good substitute.

  

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wretchedmongrelWed 13-Sep-06 02:42 AM
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#332, "The problem is Choice, Nepenthe"
In response to Reply #79
Edited on Wed 13-Sep-06 02:43 AM

          

I’m not a devout Christian by any means but I do classify myself as conservative. Conservatives usually support the death penalty- true. Conservatives usually have a pro-life position on abortion – true. Inconsistent? Hardly. The difference is choice. The criminal chooses to commit the crime. Arguably, most choose where they live – I am not a fan of blowing up countries, oddly though most of our blowing up was done by liberal democratic presidents (Roosevelt –WW2 & Johnson -Vietnam). A couple chooses to have sex in a risky manner. A child does NOT choose to be conceived.

I have read this whole thread. Again, the flaw I find in your abortion reasoning is that you do not hold the pregnant parties responsible for their actions. Both mother and father are responsible for their choices and should be held accountable for them. We all know that even if you use protection there is an infinitesimal chance that you can get the girl knocked up. It is a small risk you run when you have sex. When you fail to use protection, the morning after pill is a very real solution. When I say we must hold the parents accountable I mean for them to keep and care for the child/baby/fetus until such time that they can responsibly find another to take up their burden. In rare cases it may not be your choice but sheer dumb/#### luck that you find yourself in such a scenario.


A lot of ‘reality’ reasons have been mentioned as to why holding the parents accountable is not feasible. I did a little research on the demographics of abortion. I found my information on the website: http://www.third-way.com/ . According to this study most abortions are performed on the poor and young. However, most of these people are not living in poverty; they simply are too young to have a high paying job. Most abortions are performed because the pregnancy was unplanned. When I look at the data, unplanned to me appears to mean careless. Condoms are cheap, use them. The pill is affordable, use that too. If the condom breaks, go get a morning after pill the next day. Over half of the abortions performed in this country are done to women between 20 and 29 and most of them are done because it is inconvenient for them to have the child. The woman chose to engage in an act that could produce a child. Her body is the kid’s temple that she invited him into with her risky behavior. The baby lives at her sufferance true, but she chose to undertake the action to invite it. Therefore it is my opinion that she has little right to demand its life because it would be convenient for her. Drawing a line anywhere is ludicrous. At what point is a baby human? 1 month before birth when it can survive outside the womb? 4 months when it looks vaguely human like? Making such an arbitrary choice has little to do with what is right and wrong but with what is easy or potentially difficult. Being responsible isn’t always easy but can you argue that it is wrong?

Ideas for dealing with the burden (or gift – as you perceive it) of an unwanted pregnancies are many. I personally think that we should make it easier to adopt and put some dollars in R&D for better and cheaper morning after solutions. Both of those ideas are band-aids for the larger cause of abortion which is a cavalier attitude towards sex in our culture. I would say it’s a reasonable conclusion to draw that so many unplanned pregnancies happen because both men and women don’t take the consequences of pre-marital sex seriously. It is an attitude adjustment that I think would help best for the dilemma, and talking about it is the first step towards realizing it.

All that garbage said there are many extenuating circumstances in this issue. The woman may have been raped, it may be unsafe for the mother to bear the child, and the baby may be deformed. I grant in some of these cases being arbitrary and aborting the child may be the right thing to do. The problem with this is that at the very largest, this whole group combined is less than 7% of the total abortion cases. What is the purpose of laws other than to legislate morality? With that question in mind I believe law should be written for the majority and exceptions made for the minority. Would you have wanted to be aborted because your birth would make your parents change their lifestyle? I could very easily have been an aborted child myself and I thank god and my parents that they chose to keep me.

  

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IsildurFri 08-Sep-06 09:38 AM
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#272, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #73


          

First off, I disagree that saving 100 lives is always preferable to saving 1. But if you want to talk numbers, there are approx. 850,000 abortions per year in the United States. That dwarfs the number of civilian deaths in Iraq.

As for it never going away, maybe, maybe not. Keep an eye on Nov. 7. That's the date of a statewide referendum in South Dakota over HB 1215, a bill that would pretty much outlaw the practice in that state. If it passes, it's going to be challenged in court. Neither side is going to stop appealing. If the case gets to the Supreme Court, given its current makeup, there's no telling what might happen.

  

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nepentheFri 08-Sep-06 10:40 AM
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#282, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #90


          

>But if you want to talk numbers,
>there are approx. 850,000 abortions per year in the United
>States.

Can you cite a source on that? The number seems awfully high to me.

  

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TacFri 08-Sep-06 11:45 AM
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#285, "According to wikipedia...."
In response to Reply #98
Edited on Fri 08-Sep-06 11:46 AM

          

That number is actually too low.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Number_of_Abortions_in_US.jpg

I didn't look to hard for more recent numbers.

  

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IsildurFri 08-Sep-06 12:42 PM
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#288, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #98


          

http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5407a1.htm

850k was for 2002. Peak year was 1990, when there were 1.4mil. Yearly totals have declined since then.

  

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AmarantheSat 02-Sep-06 11:20 AM
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#179, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #9


          

Uh, ok. This is just wrong.

Take California's recall election as an example. More often than not, California Republicans generally endorsed freakin' ARNOLD! It wasn't because they thought Arnold best exemplified Republican values, it was because they thought he was the most electable Republican and they wanted a Republican in office. Period. Otherwise they would have voted for Tom McClintok.

And this is common. Most candidates elected in primaries are not "hardcore party liners", but slightly more towards the center, because A) many registered members of any political party are often more centered than their passionate spokespeople and because B) the more centered person is seen as ultimately more electable in the long run. Granted Giuliani is more center than most, but the support he could draw from Democrats and Independents I suspect would more than make up for any lost Republican votes.

Also though, there are a lot more swing voters/independents than people realize. A strong personality that can garner a lot of bi-partisan support is a HUGE asset in a candidate, assuming s/he's right/left enough to surrvive the primary.

  

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IsildurSat 02-Sep-06 11:45 AM
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#180, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #12


          

Even with pretty strong support from the Christian right, Bush only barely got elected. Now imagine a pro-choice Republican candidate, and consider that (some) among his supporters actually feel like Bush burned them by not being socially conservative enough. Also consider that the Constitution Party has sort of positioned itself as the conservative version of the Greens. In the past, those who were too far right for mainstream Republicanism didn't really have an attractive alternative. Libertarianism, but it's too secular. Now they (arguably) do. I don't think the Constitution Party will get any significant number of votes, but if they get even 2% in a place like Ohio that would be a huge blow to the Republicans.

And I wouldn't underestimate how important the abortion is to many people. There are folks who won't even vote for a candidate in a city council election if he's pro-choice. You think they're going to vote for Giuliani because he's just such a charismatic guy?

Giuliani's only hope would be to win New York and pick up a ton of fence-sitters. But I just don't see that happening.

We'll find out in 2 years!

  

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AmarantheSat 02-Sep-06 02:42 PM
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#181, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #13
Edited on Sat 02-Sep-06 02:45 PM

          

I think Bush barely got elected because he was a crappy candidate, uncharismatic, problematic, and lacking the qualities of a strong leader.

Yes, a lot of people are vocal on the abortion issue, but as with most issues there is a silent majority that doesn't make a stink about it. A lot of people are pro-life but don't equate abortion to murder (and therefore do not see it as such a vital issue), or are partially pro-life/partially pro-choice (like myself) - believing that abortion should better defined/regulated but not made illegal. Such people are more likely to overlook that issue, or just vote for a pro-choice candidate (who will just maintain the status quo.)

Speaking as a moderate votor, unless I see a dire need for serious change, I will swing in favor of the status quo. I.e. you can observe the consequences of that which is - and if that consequence is relative stability it's best to think long and hard about change - change may come with unintended consequence that even those in favor of the change do not anticipate.

  

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EskelianThu 31-Aug-06 08:07 PM
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#170, "RE: Vague Topic"
In response to Reply #3


          

Giuliani, you'd be nuts not to. This coming from a NY'er.

  

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Grurk MuoukThu 31-Aug-06 08:17 AM
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#155, "From my blog eariler this month:"
In response to Reply #0


          

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

November can't come fast enough.
Current mood: working
Category: News and Politics


(CNN) -- Democratic leaders Wednesday moved quickly to back Ned Lamont, the winner of the Connecticut primary.

"Joe Lieberman has been an effective Democratic senator for Connecticut and for America," Reid and Schumer said. "But the perception was that he was too close to George Bush and this election was, in many respects, a referendum on the president more than anything else."



November is coming. That is all.


  

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IsildurThu 31-Aug-06 02:32 PM
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#159, "RE: From my blog eariler this month:"
In response to Reply #1


          

Current befair.com odds (european notation):

Democratic nominee:

Hillary Clinton 2.4
Al Gore 5.2
Mark Warner 7.0
John Edwards 10.0
Russ Feingold 11.0
Bill Richardson 16.0
John Kerry 25.0
Barack Obama 26.0
Evan Bayh 30.0
Tom Vilsack 44.0
Joseph Biden 46.0

Republican nominee:

John McCain 2.72
Mitt Romney 5.8
Rudy Giuliani 8.0
George Allen 8.4
Condi Rice 11.0
Bill Frist 16.0
Sam Brownback 26.0
George Pataki 32.0
Newt Gingrich 40.0
Chuck Hagel 44.0
Rick Santorum 46.0
Jeb Bush 46.0

What this says to me is that European gamblers know jack crap about U.S. politics. But, in the past, market-based prediction of politics has been somewhat reliable.

My money's on Warner/Feingold/Bayh for the Democrats, McCain/Romney/Allen for the Republicans. I can't imagine democratic voters nominating Clinton, Gore or Kerry. Too much baggage. And I can't see Republicans nominating Giuliani (pro-choice) or Condi (black woman).

  

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IsildurSat 02-Sep-06 04:15 PM
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#182, "RE: From my blog eariler this month:"
In response to Reply #2


          

Two other market systems: intrade.com and tradesports.com. Their current lists are identical, which makes sense since they're market based and there's actual money involved. Otherwise people could abuse them w/ some sort of arbitrage system.

Republican:

McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Allen, Rice.

Democrat:

Clinton, Warner, Gore, Edwards, Kerry.


I'm really surprised people are betting so heavily on Clinton to win the democratic nom. But that's just me.

  

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