DurNominator | Mon 17-Dec-07 05:18 PM |
Member since 08th Nov 2004
2018 posts
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#1623, "How it adds up mathematically"
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>"Cigarette smoking is the single most preventable cause of >premature death in the United States. Each year, more than >400,000 Americans die from cigarette smoking. In fact, one in >every five deaths in the United States is smoking related." > >Well, that's amazing given that 25% of people in America >smoke. So apparently if you die and you're a smoker, there's >near 100% chance smoking is what killed you. Not a heart >attack you would've had anyway, etc.
Let's assume that your both figures are correctly. 20% of the smoking deaths were due to smoking and 25% of Americans smoke. Let's count the corpses. S for smoker deaths, D is for non-smoker deaths. Let us assume that there are X americans, who without smoking have a chance of death that is Y. Let us assume that smoking increases the amount of deaths with a multiplier Z. T means total deaths. We have a statement, which claims that 20 % of American deaths are smoking-related. This means that
T = XY + F = 1.25*XY,
where F is deaths directly caused by smoking. In the study, we're going to have target groups that consist of smokers and non-smokers. For smoker deaths, we get:
S = 0.25*XYZ
For non-smoker deaths, we get
D = 0.75*XY
For total deaths, we get:
T = D + S = 1.25*XY
By placing D and S, we get
0.25*XYZ + 0.75*XY = 1.25*XY
By dividing both sides with XY and subtracting 0.75 from both sides, we get
0.25*Z = 0.5 => Z = 2.
This means that the risk of death as a smoker is twice the normal risk. Thus, 50% of the smoker deaths are smoking-related.
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For Death Claw and Valg
[View all] , Shadowmaster, Thu 29-Nov-07 09:20 AM
RE: For Death Claw and Valg,
Eskelian,
05-Dec-07 11:06 PM, #8
Quick note:,
Valguarnera,
06-Dec-07 08:04 AM, #9
RE: Quick note:,
Eskelian,
06-Dec-07 08:45 AM, #10
Its not just heart disease either.,
Eskelian,
06-Dec-07 09:12 AM, #11
RE: Quick note:,
Elerosse,
06-Dec-07 10:33 AM, #12
RE: Quick note:,
Eskelian,
06-Dec-07 11:38 AM, #13
RE: Quick note:,
Elerosse,
06-Dec-07 12:42 PM, #14
RE: Smoking vs. heart disease:,
Valguarnera,
06-Dec-07 11:33 PM, #15
RE: Smoking vs. heart disease:,
Eskelian,
17-Dec-07 08:32 AM, #16
RE: Smoking vs. heart disease:,
Valguarnera,
17-Dec-07 08:22 PM, #18
RE: Smoking vs. heart disease:,
Eskelian,
18-Dec-07 11:36 PM, #19
RE: Smoking vs. heart disease:,
Valguarnera,
19-Dec-07 10:35 PM, #22
How it adds up mathematically,
DurNominator,
17-Dec-07 05:18 PM #17
RE: How it adds up mathematically,
Eskelian,
18-Dec-07 11:41 PM, #21
That article doesn't make much sense.,
Aodh,
29-Nov-07 11:31 PM, #5
RE: Violent media and violence.,
Valguarnera,
29-Nov-07 07:37 PM, #3
RE: Violent media and violence.,
Cerunnir,
29-Nov-07 08:01 PM, #4
RE: Violent media and violence.,
Daevryn,
30-Nov-07 10:26 AM, #6
RE: Violent media and violence.,
Linolaques,
02-Dec-07 11:57 AM, #7
While I agree with most...,
Dragomir,
18-Dec-07 11:24 PM, #20
You are misreading it,
DurNominator,
29-Nov-07 12:54 PM, #1
Another interpretation,
Rodriguez,
29-Nov-07 03:13 PM, #2
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