1016, RE: Was just preparing for some drafts today actually..
Posted by Isildur on Wed 31-Dec-69 07:00 PM
So my league is at ESPN, and so I use ESPN's rankings as a rough gaugue of how the other guys are going to draft. To that end, I try to identify players who are over/under valued re: their positions in ESPN's rankings. My candidates so far:
Undervalued hitters:
David Ortiz Travis Hafner Lance Berkman Hanley Ramirez Gary Sheffield Rocco Baldelli Mike Cameron Torii Hunter Raul Ibanez Freddy Sanchez Moises Alou
Undervalued pitchers:
Brandon Webb C.C. Sabathia Cole Hamels Jered Weaver Andy Pettitte Mike Mussina Freddy Garcia Anibal Sanchez
Overvalued hitters:
David Wright Miguel Tejada Jason Bay Troy Glaus Richie Sexson Adam Dunn Howie Kendrick Jeff Francoeur Corey Patterson Joe Crede Alex Rios Adrian Gonzalez Wily Taveras Brad Hawpe Pat Burrell
Overvalued pitchers:
Roy Halladay Jake Peavy Jeremy Bonderman John Lackey Felix Hernandez Dontrelle Willis Jason Schmidt Matt Cain Barry Zito Rich Hill Dave Bush
ESPN has Rich Hill rated as the #32 SP. Sporting News has him as the #52 SP, and using my own made-up projected stats (and formula for scoring them) he comes in as the #42 SP. If you think he's top20 caliber, though, then yeah, he's undervalued by ESPN.
I think ESPN tends to over-correct for guys that overachieve for a single season. For example, Uggla and Ibanez. Neither is likely to match last year's stats, but they're not going to be terrible either.
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